Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea Odds, Picks: Betting Predictions for Tuesday’s Premier League Match

Credit:

Catherine Ivill/Getty Images. Pictured: Willian, Christian Pulisic

  • Crystal Palace and Chelsea will meet in Tuesday (1 p.m. ET, NBCSN) Premier League soccer action.
  • According to the latest Premier League odds, Chelsea are -220 favorites against Crystal Palace in Tuesday's match.
  • Read our full Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea betting preview, including predictions and our best bet picks.

Chelsea at Crystal Palace Odds, Pick

Chelsea odds -220 [BET NOW]
Crystal Palace odds +650 [BET NOW]
Draw odds +335 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-120/+100)
[BET NOW]
Time Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET
TV NBCSN

Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Chelsea, along with Manchester United, have become the most exciting team to watch during Project Restart. The Blues have won four of their five matches in all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Manchester City, and have outscored their opponents 10-5.

The Blues offense, which has created the second-most expected goals since the hiatus and third-most overall, is buzzing thanks to contributions from Christian Pulisic and Willian.

Chelsea’s defense still could use some sorting out, they are allowing 1.25 xG against per match in their last four Premier League matches, but for now the Blues’ offense is providing more than enough cover for a shaky defense.


Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.


After opening Project Restart with a 2-0 win over relegation-threatened Bournemouth, Crystal Palace have dropped three consecutive matches and are seemingly content to play out the string. Roy Hodgson’s team are in no danger of being relegated, nor can they qualify for European Football, so there could be some complacency settling in for the Eagles.

Their expected goals certainly back up that notion as Palace are generating just 0.61 xGF per match since the hiatus. Chelsea’s defense may be vulnerable at times but there’s nothing scary about Palace’s attack, which ranks dead last in the Premier League in expected goals created.

Chelsea Crystal Palace
Goals for per game 1.82 0.85
Expected goals for per game 2.05 1.03
Goals against per game 1.33 1.21
Expected goals against per game 1.19 1.64
Total goals per game 3.15 2.06
Total expected goals per game 3.24 2.68

Considering Chelsea’s high-risk, high-reward style my first inclination was to take a look at the Over 2.5 (-120) or to bet on both teams to score (-104), but I can’t trust Crystal Palace’s attack to do their job in either one of those bets, so instead I’m going to put my money on Chelsea to do the heavy lifting.

In addition to backing the Blues to win the game by at least two goals, I’ll also take a shot on them to score at least three goals against an overrated Crystal Palace defense.

Pick: Chelsea -1.5 (+138); Chelsea Over 2.5 Goals (+195)

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