Sunday Premier League Betting Odds & Picks: Leicester City vs. West Ham United (Oct. 4)

Credit:

Catherine Ivill/Getty Images. Pictured: Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy.

  • Coming off a 4-0 win in its last match, West Ham looks to put a dent into Leicester's impressive start to the season.
  • Jeremy Pond takes a look at the matchup.

Leicester City vs. West Ham Odds

Leicester Odds -152 [BET NOW]
West Ham  Odds +390 [BET NOW]
Draw +310 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+128) [BET NOW]
Time 7 a.m. ET
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Another early start gets the Premier League schedule rolling along Sunday, with Leicester City taking on West Ham United at King Power Stadium in one of the day’s highlighted matches..

The Foxes enter the contest undefeated in their first three games in England’s top flight and look to keep pace with Everton on the league table.

On the other side, West Ham notched its first victory in last weekend’s fixture against Wolves, which should have the visiting side feeling good entering this showdown.

Let’s take a look at the clubs and what might be in store:

Leicester City

It has been a lovely start for the Foxes, who are a win against West Ham away from joining Everton at the top of the league standings.

Leicester City is coming off a wild, 5-2 rout of Manchester City at Etihad Stadium in its most recent league fixture. Jamie Vardy recorded a hat trick in the win, which kept the Foxes perfect after three matches.

Leicester City has never opened a campaign with four consecutive league victories, so if it Brendan Rodgers’ side needed any more motivation, that might be it.

We are just a few weeks into the season, but Leicester City has put up some decent statistical numbers. The Foxes currently sit on 6.1 expected goals and a dismal 3.3 expected goals against, resulting in a +2.8 xGDiff and not so flattering +0.93 xGDiff/90 minutes.

Leicester City’s xGDiff and xGDiff/90 minutes rank third in both categories, trailing only Everton and Liverpool in the league standings.


Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.


West Ham

The Hammers enter this showdown with some crazy momentum of their own after earning a surprising 4-0 shutout win against Wolves in its most recent outing.

It was the first victory of the season for West Ham, which suffered losses against Arsenal and Newcastle United to kick off its league campaign.

The Hammers are one of those teams who tend to look miserable one week, only to do a complete 180-degree turn and shine in their next outing. It’s tough to say which side shows up in this tilt, so the opening minutes of this affair should tell the tale of the way this match will likely go.

West Ham have actually put up some decent numbers when it comes to stats, boasting 4.8 expected goals and 3.5 expected goals against, resulting in a +1.3 xGDiff and +0.44 xGDiff/90 minutes.

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Betting Analysis

If this game was played on paper, the Hammers would actually be relatively even with the Foxes. Unfortunately for West Ham, this contest is being played in real life, and it is likely going to be a long day on the pitch for the visiting side.

Leicester City is firing on all cylinders at the moment and would love nothing more than to stay even with red-hot Everton atop the table. The Foxes simply have too much firepower for the Hammers to contain, which has me backing the hosts to pick up all three points in this fixture.

Throw in the fact Leicester City is unbeaten in 11 of its last 12 games against West Ham, and you have to be optimistic that trend continues in this spot.

I am also going to play the total to go over the number, as well. There have been at least three goals scored in the last three meetings between these clubs, which has me confident we are going to see an electric match.

Picks: Leicester City -152; Total Over 2.5 Goals (-162)

[Bet the Leicester City and the total to score at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

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