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Daniil Medvedev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic French Open Betting Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 28)

Daniil Medvedev vs. Miomir Kecmanovic French Open Betting Odds, Preview, Prediction (May 28) article feature image
Credit:

John Berry/Getty. Pictured: Daniil Medvedev.

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Medvedev vs. Kecmanovic Odds

Medvedev Odds -156
Kecmanovic Odds +130
Over/Under 38.5
Time 6:15 am ET
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

Daniil Medvedev has seemingly shaken off the rust quickly as he rolled through his first two matches at the French Open. The Russian hasn’t dropped a set thus far in Paris.

Miomir Kecmanovic has had a remarkable year tallying 27 wins. He’s picked up particularly impressive ones over the likes of Taylor Fritz, Matteo Berrettini, Felix Auger-Aliassime and more. He’ll have to go through the world No. 2 to get to the second week of Roland Garros.

Can Kecmanovic keep his hot streak going over Medvedev?

Let’s analyze.

Medvedev Showing No Sign Of Rust

As we have seen with so many players returning from time away from the tour (i.e. Djokovic, Thiem), they have struggled immensely to get back to their previous form.

After Medvedev’s first match against Richard Gasquet, falling in straight sets, it seemed that it may be the case for him as well. However, the first two rounds at the French Open have quickly pushed that assumption aside.

Medvedev has not only won all six sets, but he is yet to even be challenged in one.

In his first and second round, he has won 57% and 50% of his return points against first and second serves, respectively. His phenomenal defensive play with maximum depth on his ground strokes has neutralized his return points and prevented his opponents from playing on the attack.

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Kecmanovic Primed To Stay Hot

As the year turned to 2022, Kecmanovic took his game to the next level. His forehand and serve have jumped up a level with significant pop added behind each shot.

With the addition of David Nalbandian to his team, Kecmanovic has broken through. Since January of this year, his ranking has already jumped over 40 spots.

Kecmanovic seems to always have his opponent on a string once he is on the attack, and he has the consistency and power to work the point and wear down his opponent. As his 15-7 clay court record this year shows, Kecmanovic’s style of play works well on the surface that he grew up playing on in Serbia.

Betting Value

Even though Medvedev has played some impressive tennis this week, his fitness will be a question mark if this match goes the distance. Having yet to be tested or play an extended match, I expect to see a dip in level if we see five sets.

Kecmanovic has the reliability to tire Medvedev out. Medvedev often plays with a deep court position, getting balls back in play and towards his opponent’s baseline. With the level that Kecmanovic is playing at, these points are not going to come easy for Medvedev.

I expect that we will see Kecmanovic consistently sending Medvedev on the run and causing a bit of fatigue to appear throughout the match.

When at full strength, Medvedev can be the best player in the world, but with some question marks around his fitness and playing on the surface in which his movement is weakest, I believe Kecmanovic will find a way to hit through him.

Pick: Kecmanovic ML (+130)

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