Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Muchova French Open Odds, Pick | Expert Predictions & Preview
Eurasia Sport Images/Getty. Pictured: Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova.
Swiatek vs Muchova Odds
|Over/Under||18.5 (-115 / -105)|
|Time | How to Watch||Saturday, 9 a.m. ET | NBC|
|Odds via DraftKings. For tips on how to watch the French Open, click here.|
Iga Swiatek looks to win her third French Open title on Saturday morning as she takes on the Cinderella story that is Karolina Muchova.
Swiatek is the World No. 1 and already a three-time Slam champion. Meanwhile, Muchova will be playing in her first Slam final after defeating the reigning Australian Open champion, Aryna Sabalenka.
However, as the recent semifinal showed, Muchova is no stranger to big upsets. In 2021, Muchova upset Ashleigh Barty in the Australian Open quarterfinals as a +380 underdog.
But, beating Swiatek on her most dominant surface is an incredibly difficult task.
Will Muchova be able to cause any problems for the World No. 1? Read on for our expert predictions and preview ahead of the Swiatek vs. Muchova French Open final.
Swiatek vs Muchova Picks
David Gertler: Swiatek is a two-time Roland Garros winner for a reason. Her heavy forehand dictates well from the baseline, her defense and counter-punching are world class, and she can place her shots beautifully.
Muchova is in her first major final and playing excellent tennis. She’s hitting her spots on serve, playing with controlled aggression from the baseline and incorporating variety to keep her opponents’ off-balance.
The Czech, as Sabalenka found out in the semifinals, is also doing a great job of maintaining control over the baseline and not allowing opponents to push her around.
Swiatek won’t have an easy time here. Despite not dropping a set, she hasn’t looked as sharp as expected and has shown some impatience on the court. Muchova has done a great job of spreading the court and waiting for her opportunity.
Muchova should also employ her backhand slice to keep the ball out of Swiatek’s strike zone and drag her off the baseline. In addition, the Czech’s net game is fantastic, which should bring an added dimension to this match.
Additionally, Muchova has the court positioning and power to not allow Swiatek to dictate as often as she'd like. Muchova should rush Swiatek from the baseline at times, which makes Swiatek uncomfortable.
Pick: Over 18.5 games (-115 via PointsBet)
Jon Reid: What a terrific matchup to close out the year's second major in the women's singles draw. We get the World No. 1 and the most dominant player on clay courts in quite some time taking on one of the most talented, yet under-the-radar players on tour.
Not only does this mark the third final in four years for Swiatek at Roland Garros, but the Pole has lost just three sets since the 2020 edition of this tournament.
Needless to say, I wouldn't bet against her taking the title once again Saturday, but I would also be weary of underestimating Muchova. Not only does she have a well-rounded game, but — much like Beatriz Haddad Maia in the semifinal — she has a game that can push Swiatek.
Muchova has a strong serve to find cheap points, can avoid prolonged battles from the baseline, uses the drop shot effectively and has enough pop on her groundstrokes to keep Swiatek on her back foot.
I'd once again look to the over of 18.5 games.