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Ons Jabeur vs. Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Final Betting Odds, Preview, Predictions (July 9)

Ons Jabeur vs. Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Final Betting Odds, Preview, Predictions (July 9) article feature image
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Robert Prange/Getty. Pictured: Elena Rybakina.

  • Ons Jabeur is favored to beat Elena Rybakina in the Wimbledon final.
  • No matter who wins the match, the champion will be a first time Slam winner.
  • Read on to see where David Gertler is finding value in this one.

Jabeur vs. Rybakina Odds

Jabeur Odds -154
Rybakina Odds +128
Over/Under 22.5
Time 9 a.m. ET | ESPN
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

The women’s final has arrived at Wimbledon, and the winner will be a first time Slam champion.

Ons Jabeur is set to square off with Elena Rybakina on Saturday at the All England Club, with both women boasting impressive runs to the final.

Jabeur, the World No. 2 and a three-time champion on the WTA Tour, came into the Championships as the second-betting favorite to win the title, behind only Iga Swiatek.

When the French Open champion lost her 37-match winning streak at Wimbledon, Jabeur was thrust into the favorite position. Thus far, she’s dealt with that role well.

Date Jabeur Odds Rybakina Odds
7/15/2021 +2800 +1600
4/4/2022 +2800 +1400
Pre-Round 1 +800 +10000
Now -154 +128

Ryabkina has dropped just one set so far at Wimbledon, recovering from an opening set lost to Ajla Tomljanovic in the quarterfinals.

Her brand of power tennis has been thriving on the low-bouncing, slick grass courts, and quality opponents like Simona Halep and Tomljanovic have had no answer when Rybakina gets into a rhythm.

Rybakina and Jabeur have met three times before, with Jabeur notching the two most recent matches and Rybakina taking the first.

How will this match play out? Let’s dive in.

Betting Value 

Jabeur comes into this match with an 11-0 record on grass this season, having won 21 of 24 sets on the surface. This includes a title in her previous tournament in Berlin.

It’s not a surprise, watching her compete on grass. She hits her spots on serve, having won at least 65% of her first serves in 10 of her 11 grass-court matches this season. Jabeur is hitting her forehand very well, controlling the baseline with this shot. When opponents get too comfortable at the baseline, the Tunisian surprises them with a perfect drop shot.

However, Jabeur’s level, both in the first set of her quarterfinal match against Marie Bouzkova and in the second set of her semifinal against Tatjana Maria, was completely gone. The margin of error in the final will be tiny and Jabeur will need to avoid these unforced error-strewn stretches if she wants to win the title.

Rybakina is peaking at the right time this grass-court season. In her last three matches, Rybakina has hit 82 winners against 61 unforced errors. Despite serving the ball huge, she hit 26 aces compared to only 1 double fault. This was against good competition in Petra Martic, Tomljanovic and Halep.

In fact, in every match this tournament, Rybakina has won at least 73% of her first serves. But, even from the baseline, the Kazakh is dangerous. She’s hitting her backhand with extreme confidence at the moment and taking advantage of any short ball she gets to take control of rallies.

It’s no surprise that Rybakina has a 21-7 record as a professional on grass.

This is each player’s first Slam final, but Rybakina was clearly the calmer player of the two in their respective semifinal matches. 

Rybakina has the game to take the racquet out of Jabeur’s hands. She will serve big and play huge groundstrokes from the baseline, keeping the Tunisian from dictating with her forehand.

In addition, while Jabeur’s variety can move Rybakina around and take the Kazakh out of her comfort zone, she won’t often be in the front court in a position to effectively hit her drop shots.

Pick: Rybakina ML (+128)

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