Updated 2022 3M Open Odds, Best Bets: 7 Picks for Sahith Theegala, Davis Riley, More

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The PGA TOUR is back stateside, as it begins its final stretch toward the FedExCup Playoffs with the 2022 3M Open.

We have three events left before the playoffs get underway, starting this week in the Twin Cities. This will be the fourth edition of the 3M Open, with all three winners coming into the tournament at 100-1 or higher on the odds board.

We have plenty of young talent on display this week, and it could be a good chance for someone like Sahith Theegala or Davis Riley to claim their first PGA TOUR victory. Or someone will make a hugely surprising jump in the FedEx Cup standings.

Our GolfBet team has adjusted its clocks after two weeks in Scotland and is ready for this week. Check out their favorite bets for the week at TPC Twin Cities below.

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Wyndham Clark +5000 (BetMGM, DraftKings)

Jason Sobel: As I wrote in my preview, this week is a bullpen game. Let the aces rest and see if we can put together a group that can yield a victory.

I’ll be sprinkling a little on a handful of higher-priced outrights, including Emiliano Grillo, Beau Hossler and Callum Tarren, but I’ll list Clark here for his upside and wagering versatility. This is a course where I feel confident in playing a guy whose two best clubs in the bag are driver and putter.

Top-5/10 props are fine this week for Clark, as are matchups, though he might be most valuable as a FRL bet. When he gets hot, he can go low in a hurry, as evidenced by ranking eighth in first-round scoring average this season.

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Garrick Higgo — Top 10 ,+1000 (BetMGM)

Chris Murphy: I’m going off the board a little bit this week and looking to ride some Sunday form with Garrick Higgo after his final-round 66 at The Open.

The South African played quite well last week, with the exception of a Saturday 76 that kept him from a better finish, but I was encouraged by the way he quickly bounced back with just one bogey on his card on Sunday. Higgo’s T46 at St. Andrews isn’t overly inspiring, but he comes to the Twin Cities carrying some confidence and is a player that seems to run hot with form.

This course should also fit his game, as the lefty is a long hitter that won’t be overly punished by his lack of accuracy on a course where fairways are pretty easy to hit. He also has a large split towards the bentgrass putting surfaces he’ll see at TPC Twin Cities, all of which makes him a play up and down the board for me this week.

Troy Merritt +6000 (BetRivers, WynnBet)

Matt Vincenzi: To say Troy Merritt is familiar with Minnesota golf would be an understatement.

Merritt moved to Minnesota before high school, during which he played his golf at Spring Lake Park. He used to watch the 3M Championship in person when it was a Champions Tour event, and he has played the course multiple times as a teen.
Merritt will have plenty of friends and family at the event, but more importantly, he knows how to play this style of golf course.

"Spent plenty of years up here playing these styles of golf courses, and hopefully we can use that to our advantage this weekend," Merritt said in 2021.

Aside from the familiarity, the 36-year-old has played some solid golf at TPC Twin Cities as a professional. Merritt finished seventh here at the course in 2019 and had another strong showing in 2021. His finish wasn't spectacular, but he showed he could go low on the course, having been the co-leader after the first round with Rickie Fowler and Jhonnatan Vegas.

The two-time PGA TOUR winner's form coming into the event is nothing special, although he did finish 30th and gain 7.5 strokes on approach at the Genesis Scottish Open, but he wasn't in great form last year either. He fired the first round 7-under 64 after posting back-to-back missed cuts in his past two starts.

With a few events under his belt at TPC Twin Cities as a professional, perhaps some home cooking could propel him to his third PGA TOUR victory this week in Minnesota.

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Sahith Theegala +2500 (BetMGM, WynnBet)

Derek Farnsworth: The outright number on Theegala this week continues to get smaller and smaller. If you are a fan, I recommend betting him sooner rather than later.

Theegala has quietly made 13 straight cuts worldwide and racked up high-end finishes of second, fifth, and seventh. We all remember the heartbreak that he suffered at the Travelers Championship, but he bounced back admirably with finishes of T16 at the Scottish Open and T34 at the Open Championship.

Many will play the fatigue narrative this week and avoid players who played in both events overseas, but Theegala is young and extremely motivated. I would argue that most of the big names in the field will treat this as more of an off week than those that are truly grinding and looking for their first win on TOUR.

Theegala is long off the tee, his iron play has made big strides over the last few months, and his around the green game is extremely underrated. We saw Matthew Wolff pick up his first professional win at this event in 2019, and I think we could see the same with Theegala this week.

Maverick McNealy — Top 10 (+280, FanDuel)

Rob Bolton: Without much chalk at TPC Twin Cities, I’m leaning into a higher finish among the young studs. He’s No. 5 in my Power Rankings at PGATOUR.com, so you could say that I’m allowing for bad luck (a/k/a golf) to trip up the projection.

McNealy finished T16 in his only prior appearance last year, but he was one back after three rounds. He’s also gone T8-T16-T9 from the Quad Cities to Scotland to Tahoe. Those are converging trends, class.

If you’re feelin’ frisky, FanDuel has a parlay consisting of a McNealy top 10 flanked by a Davis Riley top five and Cameron Tringale top 20. It can be found for +5500 in “Golf Specials 4.” Davis (No. 2) and Tringale (No. 10) also are in my PR.

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Cameron Davis +2500 (BetRivers, Caesars, WynnBet)

Landon Silinsky: Davis' game theoretically should be made for TPC Twin Cities, as he is both a bomber and a scoring machine, ranking inside the top 50 in both Driving Distance and Birdie or Better percentage this season.

Davis has also been locked in of late, coming off a solo sixth-place finish last week at the Barracuda and a T8 the week before that at the John Deere. The Aussie also posted a T7 at Colonial in late May and has made six straight cuts.

This will be Davis' fourth time playing the 3M, having gone T12, T28 each of the past two starts here after missing the cut in his inaugural start. He also ranks sixth in this field in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and seventh in Strokes Gained: Total over his past 24 rounds. He won on a similarly easy track last season at the Rocket Mortgage, and history could absolutely repeat itself here.

Davis Riley +2500 (BetMGM, Caesars)

Bryan Berryman: Riley has burst onto the scene in 2022 and quickly cemented himself as a rising star on the PGA TOUR. With five top-13 finishes in his last seven starts, he’s been knocking on the door of a win and should be a great fit for TPC Twin Cities.

Playing over 7,400 yards with water in play on 13 holes, total driving will be vital to success this week. Players who can hit it long off the tee while avoiding these water hazards will be at a distinct advantage to attack these soft and receptive bentgrass greens. Riley checks these boxes, hitting 62% of his fairways and averaging 310 yards off the tee.

We’ll also want to target elite iron players who give themselves plenty of birdie looks, as the winning score should be in the 16-under to 19-under range. Riley ranks third in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach and second in Birdie or Better percentage over the last 24 rounds.

Riley checks every box for me this week and is my favorite play on the board to win the 3M Open.

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