2022 Farmers Insurance Open Updated Odds & 7 Picks for Bryson DeChambeau, Sam Burns, More

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Updated Odds & 7 Picks for Bryson DeChambeau, Sam Burns, More article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Bryson DeChambeau (left) and Sam Burns.

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds via BetMGM

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Jon Rahm+700
Justin Thomas+1400
Hideki Matsuyama+1800
Xander Schauffele+1800
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Daniel Berger+2200
Dustin Johnson+2200
Sam Burns+2500
Tony Finau+2500
Scottie Scheffler+2800
Sungjae Im+2800
Brooks Koepka+3300
Marc Leishman+3300
Will Zalatoris+3300
Jordan Spieth+4000
Max Homa+5000
Patrick Reed+5000
Talor Gooch+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Francesco Molinari+6600
Jason Day+6600
Justin Rose+6600
Lanto Griffin+6600
Luke List+6600
Matthew Wolff+6600
Maverick McNealy+6600
Si Woo Kim+6600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+6600
Joaquin Niemann+6600
Ryan Palmer+6600
Aaron Wise+8000
Cam Davis+8000
Cameron Tringale+8000
Jhonattan Vegas+8000
Billy Horschel+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Mackenzie Hughes+8000
Tom Hoge+8000
Keith Mitchell+10000
Mito Pereira+10000
Rickie Fowler+10000
Brandt Snedeker+10000
Alex Noren+12500
Carlos Ortiz+12500
Gary Woodland+12500
Carlos Ortiz+12500
Gary Woodland+12500
Hudson Swafford+12500
Matt Jones+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Patton Kizzire+12500
Adam Hadwin+15000
Adam Svensson+15000
Alex Smalley+15000
Charley Hoffman+15000
Joel Dahmen+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Aaron Rai+15000
Cameron Champ+15000
Doug Ghim+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Harry Higgs+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Kyle Stanley+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
C.T. Pan+20000
Davis Riley+20000
Dylan Frittelli+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Henrik Norlander+20000
Michael Thompson+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Phil Mickelson+20000
Sahith Theegala+20000
Scott Stallings+20000
Cameron Young+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Greyson Sigg+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Taylor Pendrith+20000
Adam Long+25000
Adam Schenk+25000
Camilo Villegas+25000
Danny Lee+25000
David Lipsky+25000
Dylan Wu+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Jason Dufner+25000
John Huh+25000
Martin Laird+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Paul Barjon+25000
Robert Streb+25000
Rory Sabbatini+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Andrew Novak+30000
Bronson Burgoon+30000
Chad Ramey+30000
James Hahn+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Scott Piercy+30000
Tyler McCumber+30000
Austin Eckroat+30000
Max McGreevy+35000
Nick Hardy+35000
Pat Perez+35000
Trey Mullinax+35000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Brandon Hagy+40000
Brian Stuard+40000
Brice Garnett+40000
Doc Redman+40000
Kevin Tway+40000
Peter Uihlein+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Sung Kang+40000
Max McGreevy+40000
Peter Malnati+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Sung Kang+40000
Jonathan Byrd+40000
Ben Kohles+50000
Brandon Wu+50000
David Skinns+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Jimmy Walker+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Kevin Chappell+50000
Kevin Yu+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Peter Malnati+50000
Scott Gutschewski+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Justin Lower+50000
Kamaiu Johnson+50000
Kurt Kitayama+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Michael Block+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Ryan Alford+50000
Scott Gutschewski+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Taylor Montgomery+50000
Brent Grant+50000
Austin Cook+60000
Bill Haas+60000
Callum Tarren+60000
Chesson Hadley+60000
Justin Lower+60000
Kurt Kitayama+60000
Martin Trainer+60000
Austin Smotherman+75000
Brett Drewitt+75000
Chris Stroud+75000
Curtis Thompson+75000
Dawie van der Walt+75000
Jared Wolfe+75000
Seung Yul Noh+75000
Jared du Toit+75000
Jonas Blixt+100000
Max Sear+100000
Ryan Alford+200000
Kamaiu Johnson+250000
Michael Block+300000

The Farmers Insurance Open brings one of the best fields of the PGA TOUR season to Torrey Pines, where six of the top-10 players in the world will be on hand this week.

Last year, Patrick Reed took home the title with a five-stroke win, although it wasn't without the drama that generally comes with him winning. This year, he's nowhere near the top of the odds board with such an elite group of players.

We have World No. 1 Jon Rahm, who loves Torrey Pines and is expected to be near the top of the leaderboard, given his track record in La Jolla. Players like Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele and Dustin Johnson are not far behind him, though.

With the best field of January on hand, our staff of GolfBet writers have looked up and down the odds board for the most value for you, the bettor. Check out their picks and detailed breakdowns below.

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Sam Burns — Top 10 (+225)

Jason Sobel: Coming off a big week for players with big odds, I’m going to stick with some conservative plays on bigger names this week — and chasing these props on Burns has become a favored target.

One might suggest that Burns needed last year’s Farmers finish in order to make the ascendancy he’s enjoyed over the past 12 months. In that one, he entered the final round just two strokes behind co-leaders Patrick Reed and Carlos Ortiz, only to start with a double bogey and add three other bogeys to shoot 75 and finish in a share of 18th.

Sometimes young players need a few bad experiences while getting into the mix in order to figure it out the next time they get there. Two months later, Burns won the Valspar Championship; he now has two wins and is a top-15 player.
Some might not trust him away from his preferred Bermuda putting surfaces, but I don’t think he’s a guy who should be pigeon holed as a pick only at specific venues.

Burns owns an impressive six top-10s in his previous 10 starts dating back to last summer, so there’s plenty of value in this play.

Maverick McNealy +7000

Chris Murphy: I’ll go with a bit of a longer shot to come through for his first win on TOUR this week.

Maverick McNealy has been close and shown some flashes over the past 12 months that he may finally be ready to break through, but he hasn’t quite put it all together over four days. When he does finally get to the winners circle, I believe it will come somewhere on the West Coast, and he certainly has the game to fit Torrey Pines this week for the Farmers Insurance Open.

McNealy is one of the best players on approach from 200 or more yards out in this entire field, which is where a high percentage of shots will come from this week. He also has a large preference for the Poa greens they will encounter this week, and across many of the next several events. He is the type of player that can have one of those peak weeks on and around the greens that will eventually win him a tournament at this level.

McNealy’s combination of skill with long irons, and with a sharp short game make for a perfect mix at Torrey Pines especially at these long odds.

Bryson DeChambeau +2200

Matt Vincenzi: When evaluating an odds board, there are a handful of golfers who I believe need to be bet on when they eclipse the +2000 threshold. DeChambeau is one of them.

With eight PGA TOUR victories on his resume, there are very few golfers on TOUR who carry the same amount of win equity as the mercurial 28-year-old.

Despite two missed cuts in his only two starts at the Farmers Insurance Open, I still believe Torrey Pines is a good course fit for Bryson. It is a long and classical golf course and he’s had plenty of success on similar tracks throughout his career.

Growing up in California, Bryson has established himself as one of the best West Coast poana putters on TOUR, with four of his professional wins coming on the putting surface. DeChambeau may not have the results at Torrey Pines, but he has had great recent success in California. He had some strong finishes at Riviera Country Club (fifth in 2020, 15th in 2019) and finished fourth at the 2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park (San Francisco).

Not to be forgotten, DeChambeau was also involved at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines before collapsing down the stretch.

Bryson has the distance off of the tee and underrated short game and putting to tame Torrey Pines.

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Francesco Molinari — Top 20 (+330)

Rob Bolton: Came this close to flipping a coin with J.T. Poston for a top 40 at the same value, but the Italian gets the nod because his class is permanent. (Just make sure to take a peek at J.T. for his target.)

As I noted in my Power Rankings, Molinari (at No. 8) not only landed in La Jolla with a confidence-building T-6 at PGA WEST as the nearest object in his rear-view mirror, but he also placed T10 in last year’s Farmers and T-13 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines, and all of those performances stand out in a run of otherwise forgettable form.

But it’s more than merely three results that support this prop. The 39-year-old possesses the profile of the kind of longer-hitting, tee-to-green tactician that the course demands. He’s also settled into his new digs with his family just up the coast.

Ryan Palmer — Top 20 (+220)

Landon Silinsky: In case you didn't know, Ryan Palmer loves Torrey Pines.

Palmer has played the Farmers each of the past four years and his results read T-2, T-21, T-13, T-2. The last time we saw him was at the Sony, where he finished T-12 and struck the ball incredibly well, gaining at least 1.3 strokes off-the-tee in three of his four rounds.

The 45-year-old can still bomb it, as he ranked 38th on the PGA TOUR last season in driving distance. That will come in handy at Torrey Pines, as it’s one of the longest courses on the circuit.

You can make the argument Palmer makes for a compelling outright bet at 60/1, but we will be a bit more conservative here and take the +220 that he simply top 20s.

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Tony Finau +2900

Bryan Berryman: I try not to look too much into course history, as a lot of times it can be more noise than anything. But sometimes it’s hard to ignore.

That’s the case for Tony Finau this week. In his seven career starts at the Farmers, his finishes are: second, sixth, 13th, sixth, fourth, 18th, 24th.

His combination of length off the tee, and excellent around the green play make him a match made in heaven for Torrey Pines. The Strokes Gained numbers for Tony haven’t jumped off the page to start 2022, but he has still managed to gain strokes on the field in every statistical ball-striking category.

The one fear we always have when betting on Finau is his putter, which is clearly the Achilles heel in his game. However, in those aforementioned seven starts here, he has only lost strokes on the greens once.

When he can pair his ball striking prowess with positive strokes gained putting numbers, Finau is in the mix to win any event he plays. He clearly has an affinity for this golf course, and I think he puts it all together this week, adding a win to his already stellar course history at the Farmers.

Max Homa — Top 20 (+275)

Shane McNichol: It’s dangerous to fall in love with a trend that might be more of a coincidence than a real indicator of future outcomes, but I think I’ve found one here worth noting.

In Max Homa’s last eight non-major tournaments played in his home state of California, his worst finish is T-21. In those eight tournaments, he has five top-10s, including his two most recent PGA TOUR wins.

If his work in the entire state doesn’t catch your eye, Homa has been good at this event specifically, earning a top ten in his last two visits to the Farmers. If he putts and chips as well as he has at Torrey Pines and its neighboring courses on the West Coast in the past, Homa has a real chance to be in the mix when Saturday rolls around.

His odds to win the tournament or finish in the top 10 are also enticing, but this number was simply too juicy to pass up. With Homa rolling into this event after a strong showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, he’s poised for a good week.

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