2022 John Deere Classic: Updated Odds & Expert Picks for J.T. Poston, Ryan Moore, 2 More

2022 John Deere Classic: Updated Odds & Expert Picks for J.T. Poston, Ryan Moore, 2 More article feature image

Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Pictured: J.T. Poston.

  • Webb Simpson and Adam Hadwin top the odds board for the 2022 John Deere Classic.
  • Without elite players in the field this week, Joshua Perry is finding value further down the odds board.
  • Check out his tournament preview and outright betting picks below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 John Deere Classic odds via WynnBet

2022 John Deere Classic Odds

Webb Simpson+1200
Adam Hadwin+1800
Sahith Theegala+2200
Charles Howell III+2500
Denny McCarthy+2800
Jason Day+3300
Maverick McNealy+3300
Adam Long+3500
Brendon Todd+3500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+3500
Nick Hardy+3500
Patrick Rodgers+3500
Scott Stallings+3500
Cam Davis+4000
Steve Stricker+4000
J.T. Poston+4500
Adam Schenk+5000
Anirban Lahiri+5000
C.T. Pan+5000
Cameron Champ+5000
Chez Reavie+5000
Doug Ghim+5000
Lucas Glover+5000
Adam Svensson+5500
Kevin Streelman+5500
Taylor Pendrith+5500
Martin Laird+6000
Alex Smalley+6600
Dylan Frittelli+6600
Emiliano Grillo+6600
John Huh+6600
Lanto Griffin+6600
David Lipsky+7000
Tyler Duncan+7000
Mark Hubbard+8000
Nate Lashley+8000
Nick Taylor+8000
Patton Kizzire+8000
Ryan Armour+8000
Andrew Putnam+9000
Christopher Gotterup+9000
Hank Lebioda+9000
Zach Johnson+9000
Austin Smotherman+10000
Joseph Bramlett+10000
Matt Wallace+10000
Matthias Schwab+10000
Michael Thompson+10000
Ryan Moore+10000
Stephan Jaeger+10000
Kramer Hickok+11000
Brandon Wu+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Chesson Hadley+12500
Hayden Buckley+12500
James Hahn+12500
Lee Hodges+12500
Rory Sabbatini+12500
Sam Ryder+12500
Scott Piercy+12500
Taylor Moore+12500
Ben Martin+15000
Brandt Snedeker+15000
Brice Garnett+15000
Callum Tarren+15000
Charley Hoffman+15000
Chase Seiffert+15000
Doc Redman+15000
Grayson Murray+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Kevin Chappell+15000
Scott Brown+15000
Vaughn Taylor+15000
Vince Whaley+15000
Bill Haas+17500
Peter Malnati+17500
Robert Streb+17500
Andrew Novak+20000
Brian Stuard+20000
Harry Higgs+20000
Jonathan Byrd+20000
Justin Lower+20000
Kelly Kraft+20000
Sean O'Hair+20000
Trey Mullinax+20000
Wesley Bryan+20000
William McGirt+20000
Henrik Norlander+22500
Andrew Landry+25000
Austin Cook+25000
Brian Gay+25000
Cameron Percy+25000
David Lingmerth+25000
Fabian Gomez+25000
Paul Barjon+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Scott Gutschewski+25000
Chris Stroud+27500
Aaron Baddeley+30000
Ben Kohles+30000
Brandon Hagy+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Chris Naegel+30000
D.J. Trahan+30000
Dylan Wu+30000
Jim Knous+30000
Kevin Tway+30000
Mark Hensby+30000
Michael Gligic+30000
Satoshi Kodaira+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Seung-Yul Noh+35000
Brett Drewitt+40000
David Skinns+40000
Jason Dufner+40000
Seth Reeves+40000
Bo Hoag+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
David Hearn+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
Jared Wolfe+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Max McGreevy+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Patrick Flavin+50000
Quinn Riley+50000
Richy Werenski+50000
Robert Garrigus+50000
Shawn Stefani+50000
Ben Crane+75000
Bo Van Pelt+75000
Boo Weekley+75000
Charles Jahn+75000
D.A. Points+75000
Greg Chalmers+75000
Johnson Wagner+75000
Matt Every+75000
Nathan Petronzio+75000
Preston Stanley+75000
Ricky Barnes+75000
Ryan Brehm+75000
Arjun Atwal+100000
Brian Davis+100000
Derek Ernst+100000
John Merrick+100000
John Senden+100000
Kevin Stadler+100000
Luke Gannon+100000
Omar Uresti+100000
Parker McLachlin+100000
Richard S. Johnson+100000
Ryuji Imada+100000
Sean McCarty+100000
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Nothing really went well at the Travelers. No one sniffed contention, and I wouldn't have been on Xander Schauffele at that price anyway.

So we shift to the John Deere Classic, which has taken a noticeable hit to its field strength the past couple of seasons.

With the Scottish Open now part of the PGA TOUR schedule, pretty much every top name will be heading there next week if they're looking for an Open Championship tuneup.

The Course

TPC Deere Run rarely provides much of a challenge for these guys. It checks in at a little more than 7,200 yards for a par-71. Every winner since 2009 reached at least 18-under par.

Basically, you’ll want someone who can hit the greens this week and hopefully get the putter rolling.

Scrambling isn’t too big of a factor because if a guy is putting himself in positions where he needs to continually get up-and-down, he’s probably not generating enough birdie opportunities to win anyway.

We see guys with the same profile contend here year in and year out. Steve Stricker, Zach Johnson, Brian Harman and Ryan Moore all won here over the past 10 years. None are overly long, but they keep the ball in play, hit the greens and usually putt well.

Last year's winner, Lucas Glover, was an exception in regards to the putter, but he's been fairly consistent from tee-to-green throughout his career.

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The Favorites

Webb Simpson sits alone at the top this week at +1000. Webb will be making his John Deere debut, and it's a course that should fit his game, as length is not much of a requirement here. His form has started to turn around, as well, as he finished 13th at the Travelers last week.

Adam Hadwin is next up at +1600 and should be another solid fit for the course. Hadwin finished inside the top 20 in both his starts here but hasn't played the event since 2016. He's fresh off a top-10 finish at the U.S. Open and his game has been trending in the right direction for a couple months now.

Sahith Theegala and Denny McCarthy close us out here at +2200 and +2500. Theegala is coming off a Travelers where he was the heavy favorite standing on the 18th tee box but couldn't close it out. He was also fifth a few weeks ago at Memorial, so he seems to have settled in during his rookie season.

McCarthy was a popular play last week at the Travelers and proceeded to miss the cut. That makes it tough to jump back in at this price on a course where he's also missed the cut the past two times.

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The Mid-Tier

I'll go with J.T. Poston here at +5000 on BetMGM. This is not a spot he's played well in previously, but he's also never had good form coming in. He's coming off a good week at the Travelers, where he tied for second and also had top-10s recently at Harbour Town and the Wells Fargo.

Next, we'll take John Huh at +6000 on BetRivers. Huh has finished inside the top 25 in his last three starts, including 13th last week. He was also seventh here in 2018. So while the track record here isn't amazing, he can put in a good result if he's playing well.

I'm also going with Taylor Pendrith at +8000 on Caesars. Pendrith has been out for a few months with an injury, so that's why we're able to get him in this range in this type of field. It's a gamble that he's healthy and ready to play. If we knew that, he'd be half the price this week.

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The Longshots

In a field like this, it gets tough down here. But we'll take a flier on Ryan Moore at 130-1 on DraftKings. Moore is coming back from injury and made the cut in his past two starts, including 35th in Canada. John Deere has always been a good place for Moore. He won the event in 2016 and was second last year.

The runner-up finish a year ago is why I'll take the chance here. He entered playing just once in two months, so recent form wasn't really necessary. That field was also stronger than what we'll be seeing this week.

Sometimes, a course just fits a player's eye in any circumstance, and I'll test that out with Moore here.

The John Deere Card

  • J.T. Poston +5500 (.6 units)
  • John Huh +6600 (.5 units)
  • Taylor Pendrith +8000 (.41 units)
  • Ryan Moore +13000 (.25 units)

Total Stake: 1.76 units

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