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Braves vs. Dodgers MLB Props: Odds For Freddie Freeman, Matt Olson, More in Former Atlanta Star’s Homecoming

Braves vs. Dodgers MLB Props: Odds For Freddie Freeman, Matt Olson, More in Former Atlanta Star’s Homecoming article feature image
Credit:

Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images. Pictured: Freddie Freeman receives his 2021 Silver Slugger Award with his family, Braves manager Brian Snitker and Braves hitting coach Kevin Seitzer.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Dodgers Odds -134
Braves Odds +114
Over/Under 9 (o -118 / u -104)
Date Friday, June 24
Time 7:20 p.m. ET
Channel MLB.tv

*Odds via FanDuel as of Friday morning

Freddie Freeman makes his long awaited return to Atlanta just a season removed from winning it all with the Braves.

Freeman was allowed to leave over the offseason in favor of first baseman Matt Olson, who was a cheaper alternative and had a comparable season to Freeman en route to his first All-Star nod in 2021.

The Dodgers first baseman ended up receiving a six-year, $162 contract in free agency.

Then, in April, Ronald Acuna Jr. was asked by a journalist whether he would miss Freeman in the wake of his absence.

Acuna said he would miss “nothing” about the former face of the franchise.

“[We were] close because we shared the same locker room but we had a lot, how do you say … clashes, a lot of clashes,” Acuna said, translated from Spanish.

The disagreements stemmed from incidents in which Freeman is alleged to have forced Acuna, then a rookie, to change the way he dressed.

“When you are coming up, there is always someone who wants to keep you in check,” Acuña Jr. said. “Someone comes up from the minor leagues … they come up with their eyeblack, the black thing you put on your face. Your glasses, your hat … a lot of people see it badly. And one, you don’t see it bad because it’s part of the game, you know? So for me, a lot of the veterans were trying to keep me in check, in 2018 a lot of guys were keeping me in check. They called me into the office … and told me: “No, you can’t use [the eyeblack]’ and they took it off me with a rag.”

Freeman responded to reporters that, “I didn’t view it as any friction or clashes or anything like that. I loved Ronald, I still love Ronald, I’m gonna miss Ronald.”

While there may be some animosity between the former face of the Braves franchise and the current one, there won’t be between the fans and Atlanta’s former chosen son.

Expect a warm reception tonight from Truist Park.

Odds To Hit A Home Run

Player FanDuel Odds Caesars Odds
Freddie Freeman +385 +470
Matt Olson +370 +340
Ronald Acuna Jr. +310 +310

Acuna Jr. consistently has among the shortest odds in the league to hit a home run despite having just seven on the year. He’s hit a homer in four out of 19 games this month for a 21% clip. His implied odds at +310 give him a roughly 24% chance to hit one tonight.

Matt Olson has hit a homer in three of 21 games this month (14%). His best market price of +370 implies the odds that he’ll hit a homer are 21%.

And Freeman to hit a homer on his return to Atlanta is one of the most popular prop bets at FanDuel. It’s driven that price all the way down to +385.

Freeman has hit a homer in three of his last four games. His odds at Caesars at +470 give him implied odds of 17.5% that he’ll do it in his third straight game.

Odds To Get A Hit

Player FanDuel Odds Caesars Odds
Freddie Freeman -250 (o1.5) +145
Matt Olson -170 -188
Ronald Acuna Jr. -210 -208

Caesars is not providing odds on Freeman to get just one hit — in order to bet that market, you need to bet that he nets at least two hits.

The under on that market is -218 for the five-time All-Star to record one hit or no hits on Friday night. Freeman has nabbed a hit in each of his last seven games, including four of those with two or more.

Olson’s best odds at -170 at FanDuel imply the odds that he’ll get a hit tonight are about 63%. Olson has hit safely in 14 of his last 21 games for a clip of roughly 66.7%.

Acuna has hit safely in 11 of 19 games this month (58%). His best odds at -208 at Caesars imply the probability of him doing so tonight are about 67.5%.

Odds To Record an RBI

Player FanDuel Odds Caesars Odds
Freddie Freeman +135 +127
Matt Olson +145 +139
Ronald Acuna Jr. +150 +162

Generally speaking, RBI markets are fickle and subject to far more variance than other player props. They also have among the worst betting edges across the market.

For instance, Acuna has recorded just five over the last month for a 26% clip, but his odds at +150 imply he has a 40% chance to do so tonight.

And while Freeman has knocked a batter in each of his last four games, his 44% odds to do so tonight (+127) are far worse than his season suggests.

The same trend is true for Olson’s odds at a market-best of +139.

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