The Cincinnati Reds host the Miami Marlins on July 8, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSFL.
On Monday, the Marlins won 5-1 in the opener of this four-game series, and they'll send Eury Perez to the mound against the Reds' Nick Martinez on Tuesday.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Reds Prediction
- Marlins vs Reds picks: Under 9 (-110, BetMGM)
My Marlins vs Reds best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Reds Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 9 -110o / -110u | +105 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 9 -110o / -110u | -125 |
Marlins vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Eury Perez (MIA) | Stat | RHP Nick Martinez (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 6-8 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 4.50 / 3.02 | ERA / xERA | 4.20 / 4.15 |
| 3.27 / 4.89 | FIP / xFIP | 4.23 / 4.40 |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.17 |
| 10.8 | K-BB% | 12.3 |
| 29.5 | GB% | 36.0 |
| 117 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 90 | Location+ | 108 |
Marlins vs Reds Preview
Yesterday, the series opener covered the under, and there could be a repeat today since both teams are on a run-production cold streak.
The Marlins haven't scored more than five runs in each of their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Reds have scored exactly one run in each of their past three games.
Since the start of July, Miami is 24th in wRC+ (78), and Cincinnati sits at 29th (50).
Perez will get the ball for the Marlins today, and he just pitched a gem in his last outing against the Minnesota Twins. Perez completed six scoreless innings in which he allowed only one hit and struck out seven batters.
His expected ERA is 3.02, and his current WHIP is 1.18. Against this slumping Reds, he should do fine.
On the other side, Martinez has a favorable home split, with a 3.42 ERA at the Great American Ball Park compared to his 4.89 ERA on the road.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under, using the "Silent Sharp Unders" system.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under — likely due to matchup specifics, pitching or pace factors.
By following this soft signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
Pick: Under 9 (-110, BetMGM)
