The Cleveland Guardians host the Miami Marlins on August 14, 2025. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSFL.
After splitting the first two games, the series finale will feature Edward Cabrera on the mound for the Marlins and Tanner Bibee for the Guardians.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Guardians Prediction
- Marlins vs Guardians pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
My Marlins vs Guardians best bet is Under 7.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Guardians Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +110 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -135 |
Marlins vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Edward Cabrera (MIA) | Stat | RHP Tanner Bibee (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | W-L | 8-9 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.08 / 3.65 | ERA / xERA | 4.60 / 3.73 |
| 3.58 / 3.51 | FIP / xFIP | 4.53 / 4.11 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 1.27 |
| 17.8 | K-BB% | 14.5 |
| 47.9 | GB% | 44.3 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 102 | Location+ | 97 |
Marlins vs Guardians Preview
Edward Cabrera will get the ball today for the Marlins, and he has been lights out since May.
The right-hander holds a 2.06 ERA in his past seven starts and a 2.15 ERA in his last 15 outings. Since May 19, he has given up more than two runs just once.
In his two latest starts against the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves, Cabrera only conceded two hits and one run in each game, going six and eight innings, respectively.
The Guardians lineup is not threatening, sitting 25th in wRC+ this season (89), 26th in slugging (.383), 27th in OBP (.300) and dead last in average (.228).
While Tanner Bibee's numbers this season aren't impressive, his splits are important for this game.
The Cleveland starter performs much better at home with a 3.19 ERA compared to his 5.59 ERA on the road, so he should offer his best today at Progressive Field.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under.
This system targets unders in regular-season MLB games where softer home starting pitchers —low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP— are on the mound in games three or four of a series.
By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity and winds remain neutral.
The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, keeping offensive surges in check.
With the home team in the middle of the season grind, winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110, Fanatics)
