The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Miami Marlins on April 29, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network
Continue reading below for my Marlins vs Dodgers prediction — plus probable starting pitchers, betting trends and more.
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction & Pick
- Marlins vs Dodgers pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105, BetMGM)
My Marlins vs Dodgers best bet is on Sandy Alcantara to go Under 4.5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Dodgers Odds
| Miami Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +178 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -215 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Sandy Alcantara (SF) | Stat | LHP Jack Dreyer (LAD; opener) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 6.56 / 4.84 | ERA /xERA | 3.52 / 2.00 |
| 4.82 / 4.23 | FIP / xFIP | 2.67 / 4.22 |
| 1.33 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 5% | K-BB% | 12.7% |
| 59.2% | GB% | 42.9% |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 93 | Location+ | 92 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Marlins Player Props: Value On Alcantara's Under
For the second game of the series between the Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers, our top betting pick focuses on the performance of Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara.
Using data from our proprietary PRO Projections, which combines expert analysis and market comparisons, we see a notable opportunity in the betting market.
Specifically, the strikeout line set for Alcantara is 4.5, with the odds favoring the over (-125 at BetMGM).
However, our projections suggest a more conservative outing from the Miami ace. Specifically, we're projecting exactly 4.5 strikeouts for Alcantara.
Therefore, any plus-money price on under 4.5 strikeouts offers value.
Our experts have predicted a performance in line with recent trends, as Alcantara has failed to strike out more than four batters in each of his past four starts.
Remarkably, the only time he surpassed this threshold was in his season opener against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have one of the weaker offenses he's faced.
Moreover, the Dodgers' lineup has historically performed well against Alcantara.
Players like Mookie Betts and Max Muncy have impressive numbers against him, with batting averages of .462 and .353, respectively, each having hit two home runs.
Additionally, Will Smith boasts a .417 average across 12 at-bats, while Freddie Freeman maintains a .286 average over 28 at-bats.
Given these factors, betting the under on Alcantara's strikeouts not only aligns with our projections but also leverages the Dodgers' successful track record against him, making it a solid bet for Tuesday’s matchup.
Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105, BetMGM)
