Another full slate of baseball graces our televisions on Tuesday, and our experts are locked in with more wagers.
Check out our MLB best bets and player prop picks below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 p.m. | |
  | 7:45 p.m. | |
 | 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sean Zerillo's Best Bet For Tuesday
By Sean Zerillo
Nolan McLean looks great, posting a 128 Stuff+ mark across his six-pitch arsenal (every pitch has a Stuff+ mark over 100). He’s posted a 2.58 xERA, 2.70 xFIP, and 3.50 botERA in a limited sample, and I think he’ll continue to outperform his projections (3.95 to 4.57 FIP range).
New York’s bats are white hot, posting a 143 wRC+ in August behind a franchise-record 177 runs and 53 homers.
Meanwhile, the Tigers are in their weaker offensive split against a right-handed pitcher.
I project the Mets F5 ML at -166.
Check out the rest of Zerillo's card in Tuesday's edition of Opening Pitch:
Pick: Mets F5 ML (-140, Caesars)
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Grant Neiffer's Top Home Run Pick For Tuesday
Shea Langeliers has slowed down in the last few games, but he's still hit 11 home runs in August and has been one of the best hitters in the league over the last month.
This ballpark is a downgrade, but the matchup is great against Miles Mikolas.
Mikolas has been crushed by the long ball this season, and while I prefer targeting lefties against him, he's been walloped by right-handed power hitters (1.38 HR/9).
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +300.
Check out the rest of Neiffer's home run props in Tuesday's edition of his daily column.
Pick: Shea Langeliers Home Run (+360, DraftKings)
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Our Featured Bet Labs System For Tuesday
This MLB betting system, titled "Steam Unders with Low OU Support", is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the Under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
The strategy focuses on regular season games from 2019 to 2025, where the closing total lands between 8 and 10 — sweet spots for scoring volatility.
It isolates games where the Over/Under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under. Yet, public sentiment heavily favors the Over, with only a small share of bets backing the Under.
This mismatch between money and ticket count indicates potential value, especially when the difference between the two figures is meaningful but not extreme.
To reduce noise, the system excludes games played in extreme heat or cold, only including those where temperatures range from mild to warm. It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
These filters ensure that neither team is riding unsustainable Over or Under trends.
Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range. The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-115, FanDuel)
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