It's Thursday, but we have plenty of action with 10 scheduled games. The slate is loaded with great spots to bring you some bangers, so let's proceed.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 2:10 PM | |
  | 2:15 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Yankees vs White Sox Prediction, Pick
This is a good spot, and these odds are far too high. Yankees starter Ryan Weathers is a matchup that is well above average for righty power, as he has allowed a 1.51 HR/9 this season.
Miguel Vargas is one of the best home run hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the White Sox 3B under +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run
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Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Pick
This is strictly a price play. The matchup vs. Andre Pallante is below average, and this ballpark isn't great for power.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is far too good to be priced this high, even in a below-average spot.
I have the true odds for the Cubs CF under +500.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
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Nationals vs Braves Prediction, Pick
Ronald Acuna gets a good spot here, and these odds are a bit too high.
I prefer to target lefties vs. Jake Irvin, but he's been a plus matchup for righty power, giving up close to a 1.40 HR/9 since the beginning of last season.
Acuna is due for some massive HR positive regression, and I have the true odds for the Braves RF at around +320, making this an excellent bet.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Home Run
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Giants vs Padres Prediction, Pick
This is a great spot for Willy Adames, and these odds are far too high. We haven't seen a ton of JP Sears this season, but he's a gas can for righty power, allowing a high 2.00 HR/9 since the beginning of last year.
This ballpark isn't great for power, but it's an upgrade over San Francisco.
I have the true odds for the Giants SS at around +400.
Pick: Willy Adames Home Run
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Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
These odds for Wilyer Abreu are low, but the spot more than makes up for it.
This ballpark is a massive upgrade, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the 90s and wind blowing out at 8 mph during game time.
The matchup vs. Mason Barnett is great for lefty power, and I have the true odds for the Red Sox RF at around +260, making this a nice bet.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run
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