MLB Player Prop Pick Today | Bet Braxton Garrett in Rockies vs Marlins (Friday, July 21)

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite MLB plays of the day and will track all his bets in the Action Network app.

Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

One of the darlings of strikeout props for me this season has been Marlins lefty Braxton Garrett. After getting absolutely shelled versus the Braves back in May, Garrett made a subtle tweak to his pitch arsenal, relying more on his cutter to offset his sinker.

The results have been fantastic. Since that fateful game, Garrett has pitched to a 3.18 ERA (2.69 xFIP), while registering a 30% strikeout rate. He’s cleared this strikeout line in nine of his 13 starts over that span.

Today, Garrett gets the desired matchup against the Colorado Rockies in a home game. The Rockies as a team this season are running a 27.1% K% versus lefties in away games (fourth-highest rate) and a dreadful 66 wRC+ (lowest in baseball).

In fact, against southpaw starters in away games, the Rockies have struck out a whopping 93 times in only 80 innings.

Plus, the Coors hangover should be out in full force tonight. The Rockies are coming off a five-game homestand, which typically leads to more strikeouts in their first game away from the hitter-friendly conditions of Coors. Factoring in the All-Star break, the Rockies haven’t played a road game in 12 days.

Garrett is coming off two suboptimal performances against the strong lineups of the Orioles and Phillies. I love this spot for him to bounce back, especially in the strikeout column.

I have Garrett projected at seven strikeouts tonight and would play this line up to -150.

Pick: Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130 · Play to -150)