The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 24, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Braves are favored by -145 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
- Phillies vs Braves Pick: Over 9 (-105)
My Phillies vs Braves best bet is Over 9 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Braves Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 9 -105o / -115u | +120 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9 -105o / -115u | -145 |
- Phillies vs Braves moneyline: Phillies +120, Braves -145
- Phillies vs Braves over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
- Phillies vs Braves spread: Phillies +1.5 (-185), Braves -1.5 (+150)
Phillies vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Andrew Painter (PHI) | Stat | RHP Grant Holmes (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.42 / 2.93 | ERA / xERA | 3.42 / 3.52 |
| 2.49 / 3.38 | FIP / xFIP | 4.29 / 4.40 |
| 20.0 | K-BB% | 9.3 |
| 35.2 | GB% | 41.3 |
| .370 | BABIP | .208 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 112 | Location+ | 96 |
Phillies vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects a solid edge on the total for this matchup
While the consensus line sits at 9, Zerillo projects around 9.82 runs for this game, representing a 5.6% edge against the market, making the over the best choice with a B grade on our system.
Also, the number of bets and percentage of money show increasing support for this pick heading into tonight's first pitch.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Phillies vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
The last time the Braves and Phillies met (April 19), both starters took the mound, and neither did very well.
Andrew Painter lasted only four innings, allowing five hits and three runs, while Grant Holmes pitched four and 2/3 innings, giving up four hits and two runs.
Also, Painter currently has a .370 BABIP, and the Phillies bullpen ranks 20th in the majors with a 4.66 ERA. That is bad news against a Braves lineup that sits second in wRC+ in MLB overall (122) and against right-handers (123), with that rating increasing to 126 at home.
Drake Baldwin and Matt Olson are two of the best hitters in the National League with .943 and .951 OPS, respectively.
On the other side, Holmes has issued 3.76 walks per 9 innings in 2026, a clearly bad matchup against patient hitters like Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto.
Atlanta has scored an average of seven runs in its past four games (28 runs total). So, with a little help from Philly tonight, this game should get over nine runs.
Pick: Over 9 (-105, BetMGM)
