The Seattle Mariners host the Philadelphia Phillies on August 26, 2026. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SEAM.
The Phillies are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mariners are +115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 6.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Phillies vs Mariners prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Mariners Prediction
- Phillies vs Mariners Pick: Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+125)
Our Phillies vs Mariners best bet is on the over on Jesus Luzardo's strikeouts prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Mariners Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 6.5 -130o / 110u | -125 |
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 6.5 -130o / 110u | +115 |
- Phillies vs Mariners moneyline: Phillies -125, Mariners +115
- Phillies vs Mariners over/under: 6.5 (-130o / -110u)
- Phillies vs Mariners spread: Phillies -1.5 (+140), Mariners +1.5 (-165)
Phillies vs Mariners Probable Pitchers
| Jesus Luzardo (LHP, PHI) | Stat | Bryan Woo (RHP, SEA) |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | W-L | 9-8 |
| 4.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.1 |
| 3.35 / 2.88 | ERA / xERA | 4.10 / 3.56 |
| 2.84 / 2.92 | FIP / xFIP | 3.29 / 3.71 |
| 22.8 | K-BB% | 19.2 |
| 48.2 | GB% | 36.8 |
| .312 | BABIP | .283 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 103 | Location+ | 108 |
Phillies vs Mariners MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Action PRO projects Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo for 7.84 strikeouts against the Mariners this afternoon, giving us a solid 8.0% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 7.5, which is good enough to tag the over with a B- grade in our system.
Luzardo is fanning batters at a record clip in his career, with an extraordinary 11.19 Ks per nine innings. He only had a higher rate (12.00) in his debut season in 2019, when he pitched just 12 innings.
He has surpassed this line in his past three starts, with totals of 12, 9, and 9 strikeouts in those games.
Luzardo will face one of the worst lineups in wRC+ against southpaws, as the Mariners rank 26th with an 89 rating. They're also in the bottom 10 in MLB (22nd spot) in strikeout percentage vs. lefties with 24.3%.
At plus money, let's back him tonight to keep punching out in Seattle.
Pick: Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+125, bet365)
