Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos Odds
| Susurkaev Odds | -675 |
| Santos Odds | +490 |
| Over/Under | 1.5 (-175/+135) |
| Location | Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey |
| Bout Time | 5:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 328 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 328 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos prediction for UFC 328 on Saturday, May 9, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Susurkaev vs. Santos pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Susurkaev | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-0 | 11-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 7:14 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'0" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 79" | 75" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 1/8/2001 | 8/1/1997 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.56 | 7.00 |
| SS Accuracy | 59% | 44% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.78 | 5.98 |
| SS Defense | 53% | 48% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.76 | 0.67 |
| TD Acc | 28% | 33% |
| TD Def | 100% | 86% |
| Submission Avg | 0.7 | 0.0 |
Susurkaev vs. Santos Pick, Prediction
I don't project an actionable edge on the bout between Khamzat Chimaev's teammate, Baisangur Susurkaev, and American Top Team-trained Brazilian Djorden Santos, on the moneyline, the total, or in any winning method markets.
Susurkaev is the bigger man (2" taller, 4" reach advantage), but I haven't been overly impressed with his athleticism or power/explosiveness. He's technical and well-rounded, and can seemingly maintain a pace for 15 minutes, but I'm uncertain that his physicality will translate as he ascends the middleweight rankings.
I think Djorden Santos can be competitive in this fight. Still, I don't think he'll be able to cage-push long enough to negate Susurkaev's far more efficient striking style (combined 112% vs. 92% significant striking accuracy and defense).
Ultimately, I expect Susurkaev to pull away – if not find another late finish, and we'll hope that builds more fade equity for a better spot down the line.
Sean's Picks: Pass
