UFC 288 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Phil Hawes vs. Ikram Aliskerov: Look to Bet Newcomer in Live Markets (Saturday, May 6)
Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC middleweight Ikram Aliskerov of Russia
- Phil Hawes gets a home fight but finds himself as the underdog to newcomer Ikram Aliskerov at UFC 288.
- Contender Series alumn Aliskerov could have the gas tank to outlast Hawes – if he can survive early.
- Below, Sean Zerillo breaks down how he's betting the middleweight fight.
Phil Hawes vs. Ikram Aliskerov Odds
Despite his UFC-veteran status, Phil Hawes is the underdog to UFC newcomer and fellow Contender Series veteran Ikram Aliskerov in their middleweight clash at UFC 288.
Is Aliskerov the real and ready to tangle with established UFC vets?
Let's dig in.
Tale of the Tape
| Hawes | Aliskerov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-4 | 13-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 7:07 | 2:09 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'0" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 77" | 76" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 1/8/1989 | 12/7/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.46 | 3.26 |
| SS Accuracy | 59% | 58% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.49 | 7.91 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 41% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.37 | 6.98 |
| TD Acc | 36% | 33% |
| TD Def | 100% | 0% |
| Submission Avg | 0.3 | 7.0 |
I typically look to bet against Phil Hawes. Still, I can see the justification for betting on him as the pre-fight value side against Ikram Aliskerov, a Russian debutant who secured his contract on Contender Series last September.
Hawes is extremely powerful early – with a full gas tank – and hits as hard as anyone at middleweight.
He has never been taken down in the UFC, and Aliskerov, whose only MMA loss is by KO to Khamzat Chimaev, is a decorated master of sport in combat sambo.
I expect Hawes to keep things close and competitive early – if not land a kill shot against a fighter who was finished by a brutal combination from Chimaev.
Still, I expect Aliserkov to take over with a cardio advantage the longer this fight goes. Hawes typically begins to fade after five to seven minutes, and he doesn't necessarily carry his power deep into fights.
Hawes vs. Aliskerov Pick
Look to live bet Aliskerov after a competitive first round and consider betting his props to win in Round 2 or 3 against a fighter who typically fades.
Considering I'm closer to a pre-fight moneyline bet on Hawes than Aliskerov, I'll wait for the live angle.
The Pick: Ikram Aliskerov Live after Round 1
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