UFC 292 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Andre Petroski vs. Gerald Meerschaert: Back This Fighter With Live Bet (Saturday, August 19)

UFC 292 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Andre Petroski vs. Gerald Meerschaert: Back This Fighter With Live Bet (Saturday, August 19) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC middleweight Gerald Meerschaert

Andre Petroski vs. Gerald Meerschaert Odds

Petroski Odds
Meerschaert Odds
1.5 (-150 / +110)
TD Garden in Boston
7:30 p.m. ET
Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via Caesars

The UFC 292 early preliminary card concludes with an intriguing middleweight bout between Andre Petroski and Gerald Meerschaert.

In a clash between two finish-first fighters, The Ultimate Fighter alum Petroski is a big favorite over Meerschaert, whose uneven UFC career has been highlighted by a string of highlight-reel finishes, both win and lose.

Here's our Petroski vs. Meerschaert betting breakdown for UFC 292.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time11:047:52
Weight186 pounds185 pounds
Reach73 inches77 inches
Date of birth6/12/199112/18/1987
Sig Strikes Per Minute3.643.11
SS Accuracy55%43%
SS Absorbed Per Minute2.283.47
SS Defense52%52%
Take Down Avg5.432.12
TD Acc57%37%
TD Def75%29%
Submission Avg3.41.7

Meerschaert is very comfortable fighting off his back. He has the most submissions (nine) in UFC middleweight history despite poor takedown defense (29% career).

Andre Petroski wrestles at a high volume (9.4 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, 57% accuracy). He can likely keep Meerschaert flat on his back for most of this fight, stay safe on top, and win a one-sided decision.

Additionally, Petroski likely has the faster and more powerful hands – to negate a four-inch reach discrepancy – and is the more durable man at this stage of their respective careers.

If he prefers to strike, Petroski should be able to defend any of Meerschaert's takedown attempts and keep this fight standing.

I expect Petroski to dominate this bout's opening round and have opportunities to close the show.

However, referees tend to give Meerschaert a little more leeway when he's in trouble – because he has a history of coming back against opponents – and there are several ways in which Petroski can gas himself out and allow Meerschaert to turn the tables in the latter part of the fight.

Petroski vs. Meerschaert Pick

While I do project value on Meerschaert from a pre-fight perspective (projected +173, listed +200 at Caesars), I'm not interested in betting on him until after Round 1, when you should get a far superior number.

Additionally, Meerschaert by submission (projected +290, listed +390 at FanDuel) is a solid option for round robins.

The Pick: Gerald Meerschaert Live after Round 1

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