Yes, it’s that time of year once again. The UFC makes its annual November stop at Madison Square Garden for a stacked card. All eyes will be on the main event between Ciryl Gane, who looks to defend his heavyweight title against Josh Hokit. In the co-main event, Kayla Harrison and Amanda Nunes collide in a high-stakes bout full of experience.
Today, we’ll break down the odds and top picks for UFC 334, but first, be sure to grab our Kalshi promo code and download the Action Network app to get the best trading insights. Now, let’s step inside the octagon.
Gane vs. Hokit: The Main Event
Ciryl Gane enters the fight as the favorite, trading at 63% implied odds on Kalshi. The French champion's numbers reflect both his technical skill set and the momentum he carries into the bout following his knockout win over Alex Pereira.
Then there is Josh Hokit, a former Fresno State wrestler who brings relentless pressure and heavy volume to the octagon. What he may lack in technique, he makes up for in sheer power and physicality.
The first challenge for the French champion will be withstanding the early grappling and punishment from Hokit, who has never fought past the third round. If Gane survives that early storm, he will have a clear path to taking over the fight in the final rounds.
This shapes up as a competitive bout that will come down to the late rounds, where I’m backing Gane to close the show by KO/TKO.
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Harrison vs. Nunes: The Co-Main
The co-main event is a long-awaited bout steeped in history, pitting two of the UFC's top fighters against each other. Kayla Harrison defends her UFC women’s bantamweight title against former two-division champion Amanda Nunes.
Right now, Harrison trades at 60% implied odds on the moneyline, with submission listed as the favored method of victory. Meanwhile, with implied odds of just 36%, traders do not expect this fight to go the distance.
Harrison and Nunes’ credentials are undeniable. The former is a two-time Olympic gold medalist in judo, while the latter is a UFC legend who put together a 12-fight winning streak during which she captured the bantamweight title and defended it five times.
Both fighters carry significant question marks into this bout: Harrison has dealt with several physical setbacks, while Nunes is returning to the octagon after retiring. The real intrigue lies in which factor will weigh more heavily.
It might sound overly conservative, but in this spot I agree with the consensus moneyline. Harrison has the clearest path to victory here, and if she imposes her physical strength with intelligence, she should be able to win this fight by submission.
Elder vs. Sanches
This is by far the closest fight of the night, at least according to prediction market traders. Samuel Sanches trades as a slight favorite at 52% over his opponent, Evan Elder.
One of the most intriguing angles in this matchup is that the two most heavily backed methods of victory on the board are a Sanches win by KO/TKO or an Elder win by decision. Following that logic, if Sanches fails to inflict major damage in the opening rounds, he will face an uphill battle against Elder down the stretch, when fighters' legs and gloves start to weigh a ton.
With a fight this close, picking the moneyline is always tricky. I think Elder will be able to weather Sanches' early storms, and as the clock winds down, his path to a decision victory will become increasingly clear.
UFC 334 Start Time And How to Watch
UFC 334 takes place on Saturday, November 14, with the Early Prelims kicking off at 5:00 PM ET. The Prelims follow at 7:00 PM ET, leading into the Main Card at 9:00 PM ET.
The entire card streams live on Paramount+ with a standard subscription, while the Early Prelims are also available on UFC Fight Pass.
