Updated F1 Championship Odds: Lewis Hamilton, Max Verstappen Given Equal 51.2% Implied Chances To Win Title At Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

Updated F1 Championship Odds: Lewis Hamilton, Max Verstappen Given Equal 51.2% Implied Chances To Win Title At Abu Dhabi Grand Prix article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Max Verstappen, left, and Lewis Hamilton

  • Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen will battle for the Formula One title on Sunday morning in the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
  • The two rivals are tied atop the standings and are starting in the front row for Sunday's race.
  • Continue reading for the full chances for each driver to win the race, which starts at 8 a.m. ET.

2021 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Odds

Driver Odds Implied Odds
Lewis Hamilton -105 51.2%
Max Verstappen -105 51.2%
Sergio Perez +2800 3.45%
Valtteri Bottas +2800 3.45%
Lando Norris +2800 3.45%
Carlos Sainz +4000 2.44%
Charles Leclerc +8000 1.23%
Daniel Ricciardo +15000 0.66%
Yuki Tsunoda +15000 0.66%
Esteban Ocon +15000 0.66%
Fernando Alonso +20000 0.50%
Pierre Gasly +20000 0.50%
Lance Stroll +50000 0.20%
Antonio Giovinazzi +50000 0.20%
Sebastian Vettel +50000 0.20%
Nikita Mazepin +80000 0.12%
Mick Schumacher +80000 0.12%
George Russell +80000 0.12%
Nicholas Latifi +80000 0.12%
Kimi Raikkonen +80000 0.12%

Odds via DraftKings

The Formula One championship battle comes down to the final race on Sunday morning when Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen battle it out in the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix at the Yas Marina Circuit at 8 a.m. ET.

Hamilton and Verstappen have battled for the top spot all season long and enter this race tied for first place in the season-long standings with 369.5 points each.

It will all come down to this final race, and understandably, it is the two rivals who are expected to once again be the top contenders to win in Abu Dhabi. At DraftKings on Saturday morning, both drivers were listed at -105. No other driver had odds lower than +2800.

It makes sense given how the season has played out. In the 21 races to date, 17 have been won by either Verstappen or Hamilton, with the former taking nine and the latter eight.

Hamilton, who drives for Mercedes, got an early leg-up on the finale by taking the pole for Sunday’s race, running 0.371 seconds faster than Verstappen and his Red Bull team.

The only other drivers even in the stratosphere of Verstappen or Hamilton are Sergio Perez, Valtteri Bottas and Lando Norris, each of whom sit at +2800, or a 3.45% implied chance to win. Of the four races this season that neither Verstappen nor Hamilton won, two have been won by that trio — one each from Perez and Bottas. Norris has yet to win this season, but qualified third.

Given the toss-up implied odds between Verstappen and Hamilton, the props are priced similarly. You can bet on podium finishes, where both come in at -500, and a bet on the manufacturer shows Mercedes and Red Bull both at -110. Among the trio behind those two, Perez is a Red Bull driver and Bottas is Mercedes.

Norris is the only driver of the top-five on the odds board who doesn’t drive for one of those teams. He drives for McLaren, which has +2000 odds to win. If you wanted to bet on McLaren, a bet on Norris at +2800 would seem to make more sense.

Any bet other than one for Verstappen or Hamilton would be a longshot, though, as these odds imply.

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