After a week off, the NASCAR Cup series is back, visiting the third 1.5-mile oval of the season at Texas Motor Speedway. This is the second year on the newly configured track at TMS.

With six races completed, my machine learning model is heavily weighted toward 2018 results, especially at the 1.5- and 2.0-mile ovals. Additionally, both short- and long-run speed show up as significant in the model. I’ll also use the RotoViz Driver Sim Scores to gauge race-winning upside.

 

As always, make sure you shop around for the best price. Let’s dive into this week’s picks for Texas Motor Speedway.

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Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports