The Dallas Mavericks (2-7) and Washington Wizards (1-8) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EST from Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites over the Wizards on the spread (Mavericks -3.5), with the over/under set at 229.5 total points. Dallas is a -170 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mavericks vs. Wizards predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, November 8.
My Mavericks vs Wizards Prediction
- Mavericks vs Wizards pick: Under 229.5 (-110)
My Wizards vs Mavericks best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Mavericks vs Wizards Odds
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 229.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
| Wizards Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 229.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
Mavericks vs Wizards NBA Preview
Not much has gone right for these two teams, and expectations were already low.
The Mavericks are facing their first full season without Luka Doncic after his February trade to the Lakers, and the veterans who were supposed to carry this team are both out injured.
Without Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis, Dallas loses much of its firepower, and rookie phenom Cooper Flagg shouldn't bear the entire weight of the offense yet.
So while their 2-7 record is a problem, their output is even more concerning. The Mavericks are the worst-scoring team in the NBA with 106 points per game.
The Wizards aren't much better at 1-8, and they have the worst defense in the league, allowing 130.3 PPG, but it's not like Dallas has the weapons to really take advantage of that tonight.
The under at 229.5 points looks like a great choice, given that both of these offenses rank in the bottom 10. The Mavs, as mentioned, are dead last, while the Wizards rank 24th with 112.1 PPG, so their season averages combined are well below that number.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation to go with the under.
Mavericks vs Wizards Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system focuses on early-season NBA games where sharp line movement and public bias create value on the under.
When totals drop from open to close despite heavy public action favoring the over, it signals that professional bettors see inflated expectations for scoring.
Early in the season, teams are still finding rhythm, rotations are inconsistent, and defensive energy tends to outpace offensive efficiency.
The market often overestimates early offensive output, while sharp money corrects the number downward.
By siding with this adjustment and fading public optimism, this system captures the predictive edge of informed movement and early-season unders that outperform inflated lines.
Pick: Under 229.5 (-110, bet365)
Wizards vs Mavericks Betting Trends
