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Expert NBA Picks: How We’re Betting Spurs-76ers On Monday Night

Expert NBA Picks: How We’re Betting Spurs-76ers On Monday Night article feature image

Photo credit: Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Ben Simmons

It was a thrilling first weekend of NBA action, but the fun isn’t over yet. Six games are on the slate for Monday, headlined by a juggernaut matchup between the Lakers and Jazz at 9 p.m. ET.

Where’s the value today? Our staff is here to break down their favorite NBA bets for Monday’s slate and has found value in three games:

  • 4 p.m. ET: Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards
  • 6:30 p.m. ET: Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans
  • 8 p.m. ET: San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Monday NBA Betting Picks

Odds as of Monday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

Matt Moore: Pacers vs. Wizards

Pacers odds -8 [BET NOW]
Wizards odds +8 [BET NOW]
Moneyline -360/+290 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 227.5 [BET NOW]
Time 4 p.m. ET
TV NBA League Pass

This line should probably be closer to double digits.

The Pacers proved vs. the Sixers that they are still a capable NBA team, and the Wizards have consistently proven the opposite in scrimmages and bubble play.

The Wizards defense was bad all year, and it’s even worse with how many missed shots they’re giving up.

Indiana will run more with Domantas Sabonis out. I am worried about the ability of the Wizards to put up enough points for the over, however, which is why I’m betting Pacers -8 and Indiana over 117.5.

The Pick: Pacers -8, over 117.5

[Bet $20+ on the Pacers at PointsBet and Win $125 if they make at least one 3-pointer]

Brandon Anderson: Grizzlies vs. Pelicans

Grizzlies odds +4.5 [BET NOW]
Pelicans odds -4.5 [BET NOW]
Moneyline +155/-182 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 236.5 [BET NOW]
Time 6:30 p.m. ET

Scoring has gone mad over the weekend, and both these teams contributed with their lack of defense. Memphis lost its re-opener in overtime, 140-135 — a clear over — while New Orleans still hasn’t learned how to play defense and got blown out by the Clippers Saturday, giving up an easy 126 points.

One thing these two exciting young teams aren’t doing so much? Scoring the ball well themselves.

New Orleans has yet to crack 104 in the bubble, and Memphis put up just 106 on a weak San Antonio defense Sunday. You see these teams and expect high-flying, young, run-and-gun offense, but both of them have gone under in seven of their last 10 games. And outside of that overtime Memphis game, they’re under in all the bubble games, too.

That 239 opening line is huge and implies something like a 122-117 final score. These defenses can certainly allow that kind of score, but right now it looks like neither offense is consistent enough to get there regularly, and they’ll probably both have to do it to hit the over.

This is a big game as well, so maybe the defenses will be dialed in a bit more. I’m going under and playing as low as 236.

The Pick: Under 236.5

[Bet $20+ on the Grizzlies or Pelicans at PointsBet and Win $125 if they make at least one 3-pointer]

Joe Dellera: Spurs vs. 76ers

Spurs odds +7 [BET NOW]
76ers odds -7 [BET NOW]
Moneyline +235/-286 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 227.5 [BET NOW]
Time 8 p.m. ET
TV NBA League Pass

From a personnel perspective, this is a brutal game for the Spurs, as they’re without LaMarcus Aldridge to try and combat Joel Embiid.

I honestly am shocked the Spurs started 2-0 in the bubble. Per Cleaning the Glass, they have a negative Net Rating on the season at -1.2. And even though their Net Rating increases with Aldridge on the floor to +1.9, that’s still only good for 14th in the league.

I’m not sold on the Spurs. They seem hot, but they really just beat two teams with bottom-tier Net Ratings on the season: Memphis (-1.3/18th) and Sacramento (-2.5/21st).

The talent clearly favors the 76ers, and they should be able to dominate the Spurs on the glass.

The 76ers are the second-best rebounding team in the league while the Spurs are 20th. This is a massive advantage and I’m looking for Embiid to have an excellent game without the individual defensive prowess of Aldridge blocking the paint.

I’m fading the Spurs’ hot start and backing the 76ers in the bubble.

THE PICK: 76ers -7 (up to -7.5)

[Bet $25 now at Parx and Win $50 if the 76ers make at least one 3-pointer vs. Pacers]

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