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NBA Finals First Basket Prop Picks: Al Horford, Jaylen Brown Among Top Plays for Game 1

NBA Finals First Basket Prop Picks: Al Horford, Jaylen Brown Among Top Plays for Game 1 article feature image

Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Al Horford #42 of the Boston Celtics.

NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Jaylen Brown | Al Horford | Robert Williams

PropBrown (12-1, 6-1) | Horford (25-1) | Williams (8-1)
MatchupCeltics vs. Warriors
Time9 p.m. ET
Book FanDuel

The Boston Celtics open Game 1 of their NBA Finals series on the road against the Golden State Warriors after three days of rest.

Either Celtics center Al Horford (63% opening-tip win rate) or Robert Williams (59% win rate) will be taking on Kevon Looney (33% win rate) at center court for tip-off. Horford has not faced Looney in a tip this season, but Williams and Looney have each won one tip-off against each other this season. Still, Boston should have a solid advantage on the tip-off either way.

The Celtics first in the league at scoring first, doing so 65% of the time. Meanwhile, the Warriors are below league average and score first just 38% of the time. For the playoffs, Boston has scored first in 61% of its games while the Warriors have tailed off significantly and scored first in just 19% of its games.

I’m going to focus on Celtics players in Game 1. Jaylen Brown and Horford exact methods are my favorite plays and I’m adding in a small first basket play on Williams based on the Warriors’ relative weakness against the center position for first baskets.


  • Jaylen Brown Exact Method: 3-pointer (+1200, Risk 0.3 units)
  • Jaylen Brown Exact Method: 2-pointer (+600, Risk 0.5 units)
  • Al Horford Exact Method: 3-pointer (+2500, Risk 0.1 units)
  • Robert Williams First Basket (+800, Risk 0.3 units)

Celtics vs. Warriors First Basket Data

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