Welcome to the Same Game Parlay Strategy Guide Playbook. For each game, we've built a solid base parlay to get us started, followed by a spicier, compounding angle using alternate lines for a deeper long-shot payout.
Tonight, I am targeting the highly anticipated matchup between the Celtics and 76ers for the first time since the Jaylen Brown trade, as well as the Kings hosting the Magic.
Let's get into my NBA parlay picks and SGP predictions for Tuesday, November 10.
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NBA Parlay Picks for Celtics vs. 76ers
Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 Points & Rebounds
Brown has no problem letting everyone know he feels whether he it is on his Twitch streams or when interviewed. While Tatum says there is no beef between the two, Brown still clearly feels some type of way about his departure from Boston and is chomping at the bit for this time and to face Tatum.
Despite being drafted a year earlier and winning Finals MVP for their only title together, Brown was always seen as the sidekick to Tatum.
When he got his shot to be the No. 1 option when Tatum was injured, he did not miss it. Last season, he averaged 28.7 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game, finished sixth in MVP voting and earned his All-NBA (second team) honors for the second time in his career.
However, Tatum came back last March (some would say too early) and re-integrating him may have thrown off the chemistry the Celtics had in the regular season. After calling the season the favorite of his career despite a first-round exit, Brown was traded to Philadelphia for George, two first-round picks, and two second-round picks.
In coming to the Sixers, Brown did not go to a team where he would clearly be the No. 1 option, with Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid already in town and LeBron James joining after the trade. Despite that, Brown is still averaging 22.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game. He has cleared this line in six of 10 games this season.
He is averaging exactly 29 PR per game, so an average game would work, but he has started to really pick it up of late. In three of his last four games, Brown has had 25 points and seven rebounds with 36, 37, and 36 PR in those three games.
On Sunday, he had a 30.6% usage rate in a game Maxey, James, Embiid, and VJ Edgecombe all played in. If his teammates get him a few more opportunities to allow him to get back at his former team, Brown may surpass 35 PR again.
Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds
Paul George Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
At this stage of their careers, I prefer Brown over Paul George as a player. However, it is worth mentioning that George was instrumental in helping the 76ers defeat the Celtics in seven games while spending time defending both Brown and Tatum.
In that series, George averaged 17.4 points, 1.4 steals, and shot 55% from 3. He shot 49% from deep for the entire playoffs and his hot shooting has continued on his new team.
George is averaging 20.4 points on 46/42/81 shooting splits this season. While his season-opening performance against the Pistons (38 points) was doing much of the heavy lifting, he has scored 25 points in two of his last three games. He knocked down five 3s in each of those games.
George has made three triples in six of nine games this season while averaging 3.4 per game on 8.1 attempts. He has attempted at least six 3-pointers in every game this season, so the volume should be there. A couple of them may even be assisted by Tatum.
Pick: Paul George Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 Assists
With Brown in Philadelphia, Tatum has a career-high 33.3% usage rate and that has also led to a career-high assist rate. For his career, Tatum has an 18.6% assist rate and 27% is his best mark for an entire season. This year, 39.8% of his possessions have ended in assists, more than doubling his career percentage.
As a result, Tatum has recorded at least six assists in each of his nine games this season. He is averaging 7.8 assists per game and has cleared this line in seven games already, with assists in four of them. Additionally, Tatum has had eight assists in three of his last five regular season games against Philadelphia and seven assists in seven of his last 11 games against Philadelphia overall.
Pick: Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 Assists
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Celtics vs 76ers betting preview!
Same Game Parlay Building Blocks (+421, FanDuel)
- Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds
- Paul George Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made
- Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 Assists
- Parlay Odds: +421
Compounding Angle (+1702, FanDuel)
- Jaylen Brown 35+ Points + Rebounds
- Paul George 4+ Made 3-Pointers
- Jayson Tatum 8+ Assists
- Parlay Odds: +1702
NBA Parlay Picks for Magic vs. Kings
Darius Acuff Jr. 30+ Points & Assists
Through 10 games, Darius Acuff Jr. is already making the NBA look like the SEC. He is averaging 25.9 points and 7.4 assists per game and while he has been knocked for efficiency, that is on the rise as well. Over his last six games, he has 46/38/89 shooting splits. In that span, he is averaging 28.8 points and 9.2 assists per game.
His assists have gone up, as he has said himself that the game is starting to slow down for him. As a result, Acuff has recorded 30 points and assists in each of his last six games.
Tonight, Acuff will face a Magic team that is 24th in defensive rating. They are 22nd in points allowed and 29th in assists and 20th specifically to point guards. Acuff already has had 35 points and assists in four games this season and he has a great matchup to get there tonight.
Pick: Darius Acuff Jr. 30+ Points & Assists
Franz Wagner Over 8.5 Assists
New head coach Sean Sweeney emphasized unselfishness and process over results in the preseason, such as delivering passes on time and on target to set up good shots. In four preseason games, Franz Wagner averaged six assists per game while playing 20 minutes. That has carried into the regular season as Wagner is averaging 8.8 assists per game, currently the second-most in the league.
The 25-year-old has recorded nine assists in five of his last seven games and 11 assists in four of his last five. That increase is partly injury-related, as the Magic are yet again beginning another season without key players, this time Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs. Wagner has a 29.9% usage rate this season, largely playing most of this season without them.
Orlando does not have the worst defense in this game, as Sacramento ranks 28th in defensive rating. The Kings are 23rd in assists allowed and 24th to small forwards. Wagner could be in line for his fifth double-double in six games and another beneficiary will be Anthony Black.
Pick: Franz Wagner Over 8.5 Assists
Anthony Black Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists
In two games this season, Banchero was averaging 7.5 assists while Suggs was averaging 5.7 assists before going down himself. Black missed three games to begin the season as well, but there were about 13 assists for him to make up for. He is averaging 5.2 assists per game and has had five assists in four of his first six games.
However, there is also a lot more meat on the bone, particularly from his last two games. Black has had 12 assists in his last two games, but had 29 potential assists for a 41% conversion rate. If he gets that percentage up to even 50% tonight, he could clear this line with just assists, but he will have to because of the way he has been crashing the glass.
Black has averaged 5.7 rebounds per game this season and recorded six rebounds in each of his last four games. In two of them, he has had eight rebounds, added by the fact that he has had at least nine rebound chances in his last four games.
As a result, he has 11 rebounds and assists combined in each of his last four games and we only need 10 tonight. However, you could add some juice by taking him for six rebounds and assists separately.
Pick: Anthony Black Over 9.5 Rebounds & Assists
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Magic vs Kings betting preview!
Same Game Parlay Building Blocks (+440, DraftKings)
- Darius Acuff Jr. 30+ Points & Assists
- Franz Wagner Over 8.5 Assists
- Anthony Black Over 9.5 Rebounds & Assists
- Parlay Odds: +440
Compounding Angle (+6500, DraftKings)
- Darius Acuff Jr. 25+ Points
- Darius Acuff Jr. 8+ Assists
- Franz Wagner 11+ Assists
- Anthony Black 6+ Rebounds
- Anthony Black 6+ Assists
- Parlay Odds: +6500
