The Milwaukee Bucks (1-7) and New York Knicks (4-4) will clash in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Madison Square Garden in New York City. The game will broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Knicks are 15.5-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread, with the over/under set at 220.5 total points. The Knicks are -1100 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Bucks are listed as +700 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Bucks vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, November 10.
Bucks vs Knicks Prediction
- Bucks vs Knicks pick: Under 220.5 (-110)
My Bucks vs. Knicks best bet is the total to stay under 220.5 points, with the best price currently available at Caesars. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Bucks vs Knicks Odds
- Bucks vs Knicks spread: Bucks +15.5 (-110), Knicks -15.5 (-110)
- Bucks vs Knicks over/under: 220.5 (-110 / -110)
- Bucks vs Knicks moneyline: Bucks +700, Knicks -1100
Bucks vs Knicks NBA Preview
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Bucks have gotten progressively worse since trading away Giannis Antetokounmpo. The two-time MVP winner's departure shows how difficult it can be to get fair value for a perennial All-Star and First Team All-NBA candidate.
Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Kasparas Jakucionis are unlikely to reach Antetokounmpo's level, so the Bucks are essentially hoping to hit it big on the multiple first-round picks included in the trade.
Milwaukee had two first-rounders in this year's draft, adding Brayden Burries (10th overall) and Nate Ament (13th overall). Burries is averaging 10.5 points on 21 minutes, while Ament is putting up 7.8 points in 16 minutes per game.
The Bucks are a relatively young team, with an average age of 25.6 years, which puts them 21st in the league in terms of experience.
At 26, Herro is essentially a veteran within the group. However, it's a bit surprising that he's only averaging 21.4 points this season. Two years ago with the Heat, Herro led the team in scoring with 23.9 points, helping them advance through the play-in tournament as the eighth seed.
As things stand, Milwaukee isn't going anywhere near the playoffs, let alone a play-in game.
Moreover, you'd think Herro would be putting up even more points on a Bucks team with far less talent. With Herro in the final year of his rookie extension, you get the sense that he's almost going through the motions until he hits the free agent market next summer.
New York Knicks Betting Preview
Since ending their 53-year drought for an NBA title, the New York Knicks' odds to repeat dropped from +700 in June to +900 before the season started. That New York didn't even open as the favorite was quite telling, as the oddsmakers installed San Antonio and OKC ahead of the Knicks.
And although we're only a few weeks into the season, the Knicks (5-4) are hovering above .500 while the Spurs (9-2) and Thunder (8-2) are tied for the fewest losses in the league with just two defeats.
The good news for Knicks fans is that no one is giving out a trophy in November. Part of what made New York's march to the title so special was how the team found its stride and came together as the season wore on.
So there's still plenty of time for the Knicks to go on a run, and I'd argue they're right in the middle of one, with a three-game winning streak and the lowly Bucks coming to town.
Milwaukee is a heavy underdog, catching 15.5 points. The Bucks have played only 10 games so far, and this will be their fifth as a double-digit dog.
Since last season, favorites laying 15 or more points are 59-44 (57.3%) against the spread.
However, New York's methodical style of play is a bit of a worry when you have to lay such a heavy number in this price range.
Bucks vs Knicks Pick, Betting Analysis
The Knicks play with the slowest tempo in the league, averaging 96.3 possessions per game. That stat lines up perfectly with a team that's 7-2 to the under through nine games.
In our preview of the Bucks, I highlighted how Herro could probably be doing more in the scoring department. Milwaukee ranks 25th in offensive efficiency, and I'd expect them to struggle against a Knicks team that's currently seventh in defensive efficiency, allowing 108.3 points per 100 possessions.
Milwaukee failed to reach the 100-point mark in its last game against Boston. The Celtics and Knicks are quite similar: Boston ranks fourth defensively (106.3 Rating) and 29th in pace (96.8).
Given the Bucks' offensive struggles, it's hard to envision a scenario where Milwaukee makes this game competitive by scoring a ton of points to match the Knicks.
If anything, we're more likely to see a lopsided New York win, with Milwaukee producing far fewer points.
Lastly, the research supports this trend toward a lower-scoring game, as the under is a perfect 5-0 dating back to last season, when the Knicks were double-digit favorites with a total of 221.5 or lower.
If we go back two seasons, the under is on a 9-1 run.
I'll trust the numbers here and expect the Knicks to use their slow tempo and defense to grind this game down and keep it under the total.
Pick: Under 220.5 (-110)
