We have another excellent slate on tap in the NBA today, and the prop market is full of value waiting to be exploited.
Our Action Network staff has combed through the matchups, rotations, and defensive schemes to find the best angles on the board.
Continue below for our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, November 4.
If you want more Action Network content, be sure to add us as a preferred source on Google and download the Action Network app for more NBA picks and analysis!
NBA Player Prop Picks for Wednesday, November 4
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:00 p.m. | |
| 7:30 p.m. | |
| 8:00 p.m. | |
| 9:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Hawks vs. Wizards
Anthony Davis Over 10.5 Rebounds (-105)
I am targeting Anthony Davis to go over 10.5 rebounds tonight. While he has only cleared this line in one game this season and is averaging just nine boards per game, the Hawks present the perfect team profile to juice those numbers.
On the rebounding front, there is simply no one on the Hawks roster to consistently challenge for boards right now. Their leading rebounder, Jalen Johnson, is currently listed as questionable at nine rebounds a game.
Onyeka Okongwu tends to stay out on the perimeter for the most part on offense, and while Jock Landale is a bigger body, he isn't exactly a monster rebounder that scares you away from a prop like this.
Even if Johnson ends up playing, Atlanta is still a poor rebounding team, currently ranking 23rd in overall rebound percentage.
The Hawks also play at the sixth-fastest pace in the league and rank 23rd in field goal percentage, meaning there is going to be plenty of missed shots and subsequent rebounding opportunities available.
Over the season, AD's rebound chances haven't really changed—in fact, they've slightly ticked up over his last three games with AJ Dybantsa in the rotation.
Against a fast-paced, inefficient shooting team that completely lacks interior presence, Davis is in a prime spot to dominate the glass and cash this over.
Pick: Anthony Davis Over 10.5 Rebounds (-105)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Hawks vs Wizards betting preview!
Bucks vs. Celtics
Paul George Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-155)
By Matt Moore
The Bucks have been an unmitigated disaster defensively to start the year, and a large part of their failure is how they defend the three-point line.
My initial handicap was actually to find a Milwaukee player to hit corner 3s because the Celtics allow the highest rate of corner threes in the league, but Kyle Kuzma was the only option and there is no chance I am putting my hard-earned money on a Kuzma prop.
So, I flipped the handicap to the other side of the floor. The Bucks are surrendering a staggeringly high rate of outside shots, currently ranking in the top five for overall opponent 3-pointers allowed and in the top three for opponent corner threes allowed.
That plays nicely into the hands of a Celtics offense engineered to spam triples. With Jayson Tatum currently listed as questionable for rest, the volume for Paul George only gets safer.
If Tatum happens to sit, George isn't going to magically transform into a ball-dominant isolation player; instead, Boston will utilize guys like Payton Pritchard and Derrick White to drive downhill, force the defense to collapse, and kick it out to George for wide-open spot-up opportunities.
You can find 3.5 at a plus-money price in the market right now, but I am trying to stay disciplined. I don't want to mess around with escalators for four or five threes, even though the ceiling should there against this drop coverage scheme.
I am content paying the juice on the base number of 2.5 and walking away with a ticket that accurately reflects his volume floor.
Pick: Paul George Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-155)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Bucks vs Celtics betting preview!
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 Rebounds (-128)
By Joe Dellera
Isaiah Hartenstein hooked me at 23.5 PRA in the previous meeting between these teams because he couldn't score the basketball, but the key takeaway was that he still managed to rip down 14 rebounds on a massive 25 rebound chances.
Cleveland's defensive philosophy essentially mandates that opposing centers stay anchored near the basket. The Cavs deploy double-big lineups featuring Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, keeping the paint congested and forcing Hartenstein to operate in the restricted area on both ends of the floor.
That creates a floor for rebounding opportunities.
Oklahoma City's rotation is also very thin on the interior right now. With Jalen Williams listed as questionable, the Thunder lack versatile frontcourt size.
While rookie Aday Mara gave them 20 productive minutes in their last outing against Cleveland, he is prone to foul trouble and isn't a guy Mark Daigneault is going to want to play 30-plus minutes in a tightly contested game.
Hartenstein is vital to this team as an interior presence, a defensive anchor, and a post facilitator. He is going to be forced into heavy minutes strictly out of positional necessity, and against a Cleveland team that generates a ton of physical scrums under the rim, he should clear this 10.5 number.
Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 10.5 Rebounds (-128)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Cavaliers vs Thunder betting preview!
Mavericks vs. Spurs
Cooper Flagg Over 24.5 Points (-112)
By Joe Dellera
The line for this prop just continues to climb, and it was actually sitting at 28.5 in his last game against the Kings.
Cooper Flagg had an awful shooting performance in that contest, finishing with just 17 points while going 3-of-19 from the field.
However, even with Kyrie Irving expected to be back in the lineup tonight, I love this specific bounce-back spot for Flagg.
While the Spurs have a good defense anchored by Victor Wembanyama, their perimeter defenders are notably undersized and they don't provide a ton of help.
Wemby's main assignment isn't going to be tracking Flagg, and Cooper presents a physical mismatch for basically everyone else San Antonio can throw at him.
We just saw Amen Thompson perform really well against this same Spurs team by getting downhill to the rim, and guys like Lauri Markkanen, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jaden McDaniels have all had solid games against them as well.
The Spurs are relatively weak against pick-and-roll ball handlers, and Flagg has been excellent in those situations while generating pull-up opportunities.
Ultimately, the volume is what makes this play so strong. Flagg is getting a ton of shots up in almost every single game, currently averaging 17.8 attempts per night. Outside of one weird game against the Pacers, he is consistently hovering over 20 field goal attempts.
Regardless of the spread or game script, Flagg should see at least 35 minutes of action, which should give him plenty of volume to clear this 25.5 mark.
Pick: Cooper Flagg Over 24.5 Points (-112)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Mavericks vs Spurs betting preview!
