Updated Final Four Odds, Chances, Projections: Duke and Virginia Lead the Way
USA Today Sports
- The Sweet 16 is officially set.
- Check out the odds for each of the remaining teams to reach the Elite 8, Final 4 and Championship Game.
As the NCAA Tournament progresses, things change. Quickly.
We’re updating each team’s chances to make each round of the NCAA Tournament using Sean Koerner’s projections. You can access those full projections and make spreads for every game in our bracket simulator.
There’s also a full round-by-round sortable table at the bottom of this post.
#1 Duke NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 85.2%
- Final 4: 60.4%
- Finals: 40.1%
- Win Championship: 26.8%
#1 Virginia NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 84.1%
- Final 4: 53%
- Finals: 31.5%
- Win Championship: 15.5%
#1 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Projections
- Elite 8: 75.2%
- Final 4: 47.4%
- Finals: 23.6%
- Win Championship: 13.8%