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SMU vs. Florida St Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2026

SMU at Florida St

11:30 pm • ESPN

SMU Mustangs

6-1
27
27 - 24

Florida State Seminoles

3-4
24

SMU at Florida St Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
SMU
6-1
-2.5
-3-115
o53.5-110
-146
Florida St
3-4
u52.5
+3-105
u53.5-108
+122
location pinMonday 11:30 p.m.
September 07, 2026
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell StadiumTallahassee
SMU vs. Florida St Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 45-45-2 (-4.2u)
Over 54.5-105
2u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 90-74-2 (+5.7u)
SMU -137
1u
Project SMU -1; fresh Week 1 teams v opponents w Week Zero teams are 149-109-6 (58%)
FSU +7.5 (Live)-121
0.5u
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 29-32-0 (-0.1u)
SMU -3-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 52-67-0 (+0.5u)
Under 55.5-125
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 416-413-9 (+32.4u)
T.Ohrstrom Anytime TD Scorer Yes+325
0.15u
Florida State Under 168.5 Total rushing yards +115
0.43u
Boost used
L.Thomas Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800
0.1u
J.Boggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+575
0.1u
O.Kromah Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
0.49u
Y.Smith u34.5 Rec Yds-115
0.57u
SMU -103
0.5u
Boost
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 55-65-3 (-3.2u)
SMU -145
0.28u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 244-229-3 (+28.9u)
FSU +3-125
$1.25
https://discord.gg/5W3QYaC3H
D.Robinson o4.5 Recs-120
$1.20
https://discord.gg/cP6X2bgkS
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 116-164-3 (-2.1u)
SMU -2.5+114
0.57u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 113-112-4 (+23.5u)
SMU -140
2u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 57-56-2 (-2.4u)
SMU -2.5-110
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 153-148-10 (+10.4u)
Under 54.5-105
0.95u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-0.1u)
SMU -2.5-110
0.91u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 73-48-0 (+11.9u)
SMU -110
0.45u
Profit boost play
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 55-65-2 (-10.8u)
SMU -2.5-110
0.91u
@_Collin1 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/college-football-betting-preview-week-1/id1579379256?i=1000787572547
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 59-60-1 (+9.3u)
FSU +3-101
1.01u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 11-22-1 (-14.6u)
SMU -148
1u
Analysis in twitter/tiktok video @ anderspicks Downgraded FSU quite a bit and price doesn’t reflect that. Week 1 rested teams vs a team that played in week 0: 244-186-7(56.7% ATS)
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 33-47-2 (-20.2u)
SMU -2-118
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 46-35-1 (+0.9u)
Under 54.5-105
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 56-77-1 (-22.9u)
SMU -135
1.48u
CFB POD
Adam Kaufman
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 365-334-14 (-8.9u)
SMU -145
1u
Alex Hinton
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 101-105-1 (-1.0u)
SMU -135
1.48u
Nick Griffith
Last 30d: 54-47-0 (+9.4u)
SMU -2.5-110
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 98-92-2 (-5.5u)
Over 27.5 (1H)+100
1u
John Feltman
John Feltman
Last 30d: 107-60-1 (+30.2u)
SMU -2.5-110
0.5u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 113-199-1 (+13.3u)
FSU +3-105
1.05u
PredictionPro
PredictionPro
Last 30d: 3-2-0 (+0.5u)
FSU +3.5-125
0.8u

SMU vs. Florida St Previews & Analysis

  • SMU vs. Florida State: How to Bet Monday's NCAAF Game article feature image

    SMU vs. Florida State: How to Bet Monday's NCAAF Game

    Collin Wilson•
    Sep 7, 2026 UTC
  • Our +250 SGP for SMU vs. FSU article feature image

    Our +250 SGP for SMU vs. FSU

    Road ToCFB•
    Sep 7, 2026 UTC
  • 3 Huge Edges Fuel +847 SGP for SMU vs. FSU article feature image

    3 Huge Edges Fuel +847 SGP for SMU vs. FSU

    PJ Walsh•
    Sep 7, 2026 UTC
  • College Football Top Picks To Trade Today article feature image

    College Football Top Picks To Trade Today

    Ian Undery•
    Sep 6, 2026 UTC
See more NCAAF Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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SMU vs. Florida St Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

SMU

Public

Home Logo

Florida St

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

NCAAF Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Florida St are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Florida St are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Florida St are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Florida St' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Florida St' 4 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Florida St		3-3-11-2-12-10-13-1-1
SMU		3-3-13-20-1-13-2-10-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Florida St		3-40-43-00-13-2
SMU		3-42-31-12-41-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Florida St		3-4N/AN/A1-01-4
SMU		6-1N/AN/A6-00-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 29thNMSUW 34-17-30.5 LU 53.5FSU -10000
Nov 29th@FLAL 21-40-1.5 LO 49FLA -116
Nov 22nd@NCSTL 11-21-6.5 LU 59NCST -247
Nov 16thVTW 34-14-14 WU 55.5FSU -535
Nov 9th@CLEML 10-24+1.5 LU 57.5CLEM -102
Team Stats

Total

585
Total Yards
324
67
Total Plays
68
8.73134328358209
Yards Per Play
4.764705882352941

Passing

430
YDS
125
26/36
Comps/Atts
12/23
11.944444444444445
YPA
5.434782608695652
3/2
TDs/INTs
1/0
0/0
Sacks/Yards
3/19

Rushing

155
Rush Yards
199
31
Attempts
45
5
YPC
4.4222222222222225
0
TDs
2

Turnovers

2
Fumbles Lost
1
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/4 75%
Redzone
2/2 100%
8/14 0%
3rd Down
2/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
2/4 0%

First Downs

23
Total
16
15
Pass
7
7
Rush
7
1
Penalty
2

Misc

6/47
Penalties/Yards
3/27

SMU vs. Florida St Odds Comparison

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SMU at Florida St Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
SMU
6-1
N/A
N/A
Florida St
3-4
N/A
N/A