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The Arkansas State Red Wolves take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in Conway, South Carolina. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
Coastal Carolina is favored by 1.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -115. The total is set at 51.5 points.
Here’s my Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction
- Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina Pick: Arkansas State PK or Better
My Coastal Carolina vs. Arkansas State best bet is on the Red Wolves. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Odds
| Arkansas St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
| Coastal Car Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
- Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina point spread: Coastal Carolina -1.5 (+100), Arkansas St +1.5 (-120)
- Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina over/under: 51.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina moneyline: Arkansas State -110, Coastal Car -110
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina College Football Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system fades home favorites on short scoring streaks (under 10 points) where recency bias overstates offensive momentum against potentially tougher opponents.
In college football, home favorites coming off a low-scoring performance can often be overvalued by the market. When a team has scored fewer than ten points in its most recent game, public perception and recency bias can distort expectations, leading to assumptions of a quick rebound in front of the home crowd.
Yet these situations frequently signal deeper offensive challenges or upcoming matchups against tougher defenses.
By fading the home favorite and taking the opposite side, bettors can capitalize on inflated lines where momentum is overstated, and the underdog holds more value than the market recognizes.
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Pick, Betting Analysis
Coastal Carolina dropped a measly eight points at home against Old Dominion last week.
I'm a big fan of Coastal quarterback Deuce Bailey, but he is one of the more volatile gunslingers in college football. His 17 Big Time Throws rank 10th among college quarterbacks, while his 17 Turnover Worthy Plays are the third-most. It also doesn't help that Coastal has zero run game (116th in Rush Success Rate). An inability to establish the run forces Bailey into more downfield passes, which tends to result in heroic plays or disaster. Both turnovers and the early-down rush attack explain why Coastal often struggles to string drives together.
Arkansas State has its fair share of issues, especially on defense (128th nationally in EPA per Play allowed), but the Red Wolves field a fairly competent offense that can really move the ball through the air (18th nationally in Pass Success Rate). Quarterback Trey Owens is tied for second among Sun Belt quarterbacks in yards per attempt (8.1), but he also helps keep the chains moving on the ground, where he's the team's leading rusher (374 yards, .45 EPA per Rush).
Between two teams with all sorts of issues, I'll take the more trustworthy, steady offense. The Red Wolves recently dropped 38 on Georgia State and 49 on South Alabama — why can't they do the same here?
Pick: Arkansas State PK or Better
