South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Odds, Predictions: Why to Bet the Favorite
Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler.
South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Odds
| South Carolina Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | -250 |
| Vanderbilt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | +210 |
Vanderbilt nearly upset South Carolina last season as a 19-point underdog. Odds say the game will be close yet again Saturday in Week 10.
The entire market views South Carolina as a seven-point favorite, but FanDuel's offering 6.5 for those interested in the road squad.
The total, meanwhile, has been dropping, perhaps due to rain in the forecast, particularly the late afternoon.
Though Alabama vs. LSU and Tennessee vs. Georgia are also featured on Saturday's Week 10 card, don't overlook this SEC bet between the Gamecocks and Commodores.
Quarterback Spencer Rattler was sacked four times and tossed another pick last week in a loss to Missouri, as the Gamecocks lost as 3.5-point chalk.
It's been a common theme for the Oklahoma transfer, who spearheads an underwhelming South Carolina offense.
The Gamecocks rank 83rd or worse nationally in rushing, passing and total yards per game. Overall, Rattler has just five passing touchdowns against nine interceptions this season.
The defense, meanwhile, ranks 82nd in rushing yards allowed per attempt (4.3) and gives up around 166 yards per contest.
When we look at Line Yards as a metric to determine the push up front, the Gamecocks defense has been awful; they're 114th nationally and even worse from a Rushing Success standpoint.
South Carolina still needs two more wins over the next four weeks to cash the over on its regular-season win total of 6.5.
Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt nearly tripped up Missouri as a 13.5-point underdog in Week 8.
Yet, nobody really wants much to do with the Commodores this week, according to our public betting percentages, and it's easy to see why.
Prior to the nail-biter vs. the Tigers, the Commodores dropped five of their last six against the spread and got outscored, 162-31, against three straight SEC opponents.
Although you have to squint to see the progress, Clark Lea's club's been propped up this year thanks to wins over teams like Hawaii and Northern Illinois.
The 'Dores have still been a losing proposition against the spread this year (3-5) and have rarely competed in conference play.
Is this the time to strike against an underwhelming South Carolina team?
South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how South Carolina and Vanderbilt match up statistically:
South Carolina Offense vs. Vanderbilt Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 36 | 75 | |
| Line Yards | 93 | 62 | |
| Pass Success | 103 | 129 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 58 | 130 | |
| Havoc | 129 | 85 | |
| Finishing Drives | 46 | 105 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Vanderbilt Offense vs. South Carolina Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 108 | 124 | |
| Line Yards | 108 | 114 | |
| Pass Success | 86 | 59 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 106 | 30 | |
| Havoc | 32 | 78 | |
| Finishing Drives | 47 | 84 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 51 | 109 |
| PFF Coverage | 116 | 113 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 1 | 123 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.9 (83) | 28.0 (97) |
| Rush Rate | 52.2% (72) | 52.3% (71) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
South Carolina vs Vanderbilt Betting Pick
This feels like an extreme discount on South Carolina minus the points.
Rattler's the worst statistical quarterback in the SEC when under pressure, but Vanderbilt has been an absolute dream matchup for opposing signal-callers.
They're tied 100th nationally in sacks per game (1.6), aren't very active (85th in Havoc) and boast arguably the worst secondary in the country from a Success Rate standpoint.
South Carolina took a bad loss last week to Missouri, but there's a good chance the market's heating up to the Tigers, who are nearly a pick'em against Kentucky this weekend.
Special teams is a complete mismatch in favor of the Gamecocks, who are cheap at this number.
Pick: South Carolina -6.5 |
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