College Football Odds & Player Props: Fade Missouri’s Keke Chism, Bet Rutgers’ Bo Melton in Saturday Action
(Photo by Rick Ulreich/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
- It's college football Saturday, and we have three wide receiver prop bets to keep an eye on.
- It starts with Missouri's Keke Chism but also includes Rutgers' Bo Melton and Nevada's Romeo Doubs.
- Check out Alex Kolodziej's full player props breakdown below.
J.T. Daniels and Will Rogers cashed their passing totals and wide receiver Zay Flowers was limited en route to a 3-1 record on last week’s player props.
Three more bets stick out in Week 5, headlined by a huge disagreement on an SEC receiving total.
You can snag these plays at PrizePicks, which is available in 30 states.
Missouri WR Keke Chism Over/Under 52.5 Receiving Yards
Keke Chism: 11/10 name, but a terrible spot.
Chism paced Missouri’s receiving corps in catches (seven) for the first time all year against Boston College last week, registering 67 yards.
I hate the matchup against Tennessee, for a couple reasons.
First, Chism was frequently targeted whenever the Tigers needed to move the chains against the Eagles.
However, Missouri won’t need to rely on the 6-foot-5 safety valve as much this weekend.
Running back Tyler Badie — who’s third in the country in yards per team play (2.06) among the 2022 crop — should pump out plenty of big gains against a Tennessee defense that was popped for 7.1 yards per rush last Saturday vs. Florida, in turn keeping the offense in a positive game script.
Secondly, the Volunteers match up well here.
They held 6-foot-5 Florida receiver Justin Shorter to three catches last week after limiting Alabama’s No. 1 WR John Metchie III to just 49 yards the game prior.
Overall, the Volunteers are 18th nationally in yards per completion allowed (9.9).
Chism owns roughly a 16% reception share in the offense this season, and only one of his 17 catches has gone for more than 17 yards.
This is my favorite play of the week and it’s a number I’d bet down to 44.5.
Pick: Under 52.5
Rutgers WR Bo Melton Over/Under 5 Receptions
Melton’s upside is through the roof in Week 5 despite ranked Ohio State coming to town.
The Scarlet Knights have primarily kept the ball on the ground, owning a top-30 rush rate (59.2%) nationally.
But they can’t afford to run all game if they expect to match pace with the Buckeyes’ high-powered offense. If you watch how head coach Greg Schiano treated last year’s game against Ohio State, pulling out all the stops as a 37.5-point ‘dog, he won’t go quietly Saturday.
Enter Melton, who’s accounted for 24 of the team’s 76 catches this season — an absurd 31.6% reception share in Rutgers’ offense. He becomes the focal point once Rutgers plays catch-up.
Last season, he picked up seven catches against the Buckeyes’ national title runner-up defense.
He’s poised for a field day against the current Ohio State secondary, which allowed the second-highest Explosive Pass rate in the country before drawing Akron in Week 4.
Pick: Over 5
Nevada WR Romeo Doubs Over/Under 5.5 Catches
Doubs gets a big bump Saturday in a potential track meet against Boise State.
Nevada star receiver Elijah Cooks suffered his second straight season-ending injury last week against Kansas State, opening a larger role for Doubs.
The 6-foot-2 L.A. native lit it up for the Pack in 2020, leading the offense in both catches (58) and yards (1,002), while tying for the team lead in touchdown catches (nine).
He’s already brought down 17 receptions in three games this fall and is fresh off a seven-catch, 121-yard outing against Kansas State.
He’ll find some mismatches against a Broncos defense allowing a whopping 14 yards per completion.
Pick: Over 5.5