Wilson: What I’m Betting on Clemson-Alabama in 2019 National Championship Game

Jan 08, 2019 7:04 PM EST
Credit:

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Travis Etienne

  • Collin Wilson is eyeing a side and a handful of props in the 2019 national championship game between Clemson and Alabama.
  • Here's what he's betting, and be sure to follow him on Twitter and in The Action Network app through the links below to get additional bets as the game approaches.

The two best teams in all of college football will compete for the first 15-0 record since Penn in 1897 in Monday’s national championship game.

Alabama and Clemson were the top ranked teams in each College Football Playoff rankings during 2018, and will meet in the postseason for the fourth consecutive year, with the Tide holding a 2-1 edge.

There are plenty of storylines in Santa Clara. Nick Saban will attempt to pass Bear Bryant for the most all-time national titles by a coach at seven. Alabama is a single-digit favorite for the first time all year. It’s a preview of the 2019 Heisman Trophy race between Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa. Lawrence trying to become the first true freshman quarterback to win it all since 1985.

Independent of the traditional storylines, there’s money to be made. Here’s some of what I’m betting on Monday night. Follow me on Twitter and in The Action Network App to get any additional bets I’m making on props, the game or in live betting.

Alabama First Quarter (-.5)

Both teams will look to implement a similar pace, as Clemson averages 73.8 plays per game to Alabama’s 69.3 over the span of 2018.

But the first quarter will be key, and should provide a window of opportunity for live bettors. Alabama has outscored Clemson 38-24 in the first in their previous three meetings, but a closer look at the 2018 game log shows why it makes sense to take the Tide in this prop.

Alabama has scored on the first drive of every game in 2018 with the exception of Georgia, LSU and Auburn. Conversely, Clemson has failed to score in nine of its 14 games this season.

Alabama -.5 (-110) in a first quarter line is a great value play on a team that starts fast versus a team whose offense takes a few drives to score.

Clemson Live

Like I mentioned above, I will be looking for opportunities to back Clemson live if the Tigers get off to a slow start, which I expect they will. Follow me on Twitter to see when I bet live.

Clemson at +3.5 or Better, Full Game

As I said in the spring, Clemson is just as talented in every aspect of the game as Alabama, but with much better price tag. Trevor Lawrence has been groomed for this spot and has been granted the better defense in this game.

Nick Saban may be considered the better coach than Dabo Swinney, but there is a stark contrast in coordinators. The Clemson coordinators are getting Alabama for a fourth consecutive year, while the rotating coordinators in Tuscaloosa may play a factor. Crimson Tide offensive coordinator Mike Locksley will move on to Maryland directly after this game, while first year defensive coordinator Tosh Lupoi coaches the biggest game of his life.