San Jose State vs. New Mexico Betting Odds, Pick: How to Bet this Rising Total?

San Jose State vs. New Mexico Betting Odds, Pick: How to Bet this Rising Total? article feature image
Credit:

Isaiah J. Downing, USA Today Sports.

  • The San Jose State Spartans (2-2) are 6.5-point favorites over New Mexico State (2-2) ahead of their Friday night matchup at CEFCU Stadium.
  • The Over/Under has been bet up to 70, but has that number shot up too much? Collin Wilson previews tonight's matchup.

San Jose State at New Mexico Betting Odds

  • Spread: San Jose State -6.5
  • Over/Under: 70
  • Time: 10 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: San Jose, Calif.

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San Jose State at New Mexico Line Movement

Two-thirds of bettors have been willing to lay the points with San Jose State, which opened as a touchdown favorite. That backing, plus the importance of the key number of seven, have made the line move to -6.5 a significant one.

Helping explain it has been the 58% of actual money landing on New Mexico, revealing how bigger bettors are playing this game.

The total has nudged up from 66.5 to 67 behind 57% of bets and a whopping 90% of dollars. — Danny Donahue

Collin Wilson: Can New Mexico’s Defense Step Up?

San Jose State was on the verge of starting the season with four straight unders until Air Force went for a 4th-and-1 late in the fourth quarter with a 24-point lead.

The Spartans average 71 plays per game and a pedestrian 5.79 yards per play. The key to San Jose State’s victory over Arkansas was that the offense was able to turn explosive plays into touchdowns. That is crucial for the Spartans, as they outside the top 100 in red zone scoring percentage.

New Mexico held Liberty to a total of 27 points in its last game, but once again the Lobos were their own worst enemy. New Mexico didn’t have problems getting into scoring position, but it couldn’t finish drives.

That has been the early theme of the season for Bob Davie’s team, which ranks 114th in red zone scoring percentage.

New Mexico ranks 126th defensive in our havoc ratings, meaning they are not getting into the opponent’s backfield or forcing fumbles.

Both teams should be able to get into scoring range, but finishing drives will be another story.

Our projected total for this game is 57, which is more than a touchdown lower than the current market value. I’ll also be looking for a live opportunity on San Jose State under a field goal.

The Pick: Under 64 or better