Chargers vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2026

Chargers at Bills

5:00 pm • FOX
16 - 24

Chargers at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chargers
0-6
+3
+7-115
o50.5-106
+272
Bills
5-1
u48.5
-7.5-102
u50.5-111
-350
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 27, 2026
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Chargers vs. Bills Expert Picks
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 33-43-2 (-14.9u)
LAC +7.5-116
1.16u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 77-79-2 (+2.2u)
LAC +7-120
0.3u
*supposed to be 7.5. Need back end to update
Mike McNamara
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 77-75-2 (-2.1u)
LAC +7.5-120
0.4u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 28-41-2 (-4.8u)
LAC +7-105
0.55u
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 58-81-1 (-20.9u)
LAC +7.5-113
1.13u
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 53-64-0 (+1.5u)
J.Cook o10.5 Rec Yds-113
0.56u
Kind of a weird buy-low spot for Cook’s receiving market. He entered the league with more of a pass-catching profile, but that obviously isn’t his main role anymore as Buffalo’s lead back and the reigning rushing champ. Still, the underlying usage has actually been pretty solid. Cook has caught just 4 of 7 targets, a 57% catch rate that’s roughly 22% below expected. And because I’m not just blindly trusting the math here, I went back and watched all seven targets. Could easily have 1-2 more rec so far this year and way more receiving production that game log watchers are going to see. I prefer Over 10.5 yards to paying heavy juice on Over 1.5 receptions because Cook usually makes his catches count at 8+ yards per grab. He can clear this on one play, but I think 2-3 catches is more likely than the market suggests. I have his median closer to 15.5 receiving yards with around a 60% chance to clear 10.5.
Anthony Dabbundo
Anthony Dabbundo
Last 30d: 46-62-0 (-20.2u)
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 381-422-7 (+13.9u)
L.McConkey u4.5 Recs-120
0.5u
J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-135
0.68u
J.Herbert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+490
0.1u
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
0.23u
P.Herbert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1600
0.1u
J.Cook o10.5 Rec Yds-113
0.56u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 58-61-2 (-0.2u)
J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+180
0.36u
Boomer’s Book
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 227-249-5 (-20.1u)
Q.Johnston Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
$1.00
J.Herbert o222.5 Pass Yds-114
$1.00
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 24-93-4 (-2.3u)
D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
0.25u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 51-73-2 (-17.1u)
LAC +7-107
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 107-97-2 (+34.6u)
LAC +7-110
1.1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 40-115-0 (-6.8u)
O.Hampton Anytime TD Scorer Yes-115
1u
Brandon’s playground Week 3 bets
O.Hampton 2+ TDs Yes+500
0.25u
Brandon’s playground Week 3 bets
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 52-50-2 (-1.2u)
BUF o29.5-110
1.1u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 5-8-1 (-2.8u)
LAC +7.5-110
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 53-62-1 (+1.2u)
LAC +7.5-117
2.34u
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 29-41-1 (-18.2u)
L.McConkey o54.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 103-99-0 (-10.6u)
LAC +7.5-120
1.2u
J.Herbert o226.5 Pass Yds-113
1.13u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 21-63-1 (-2.6u)
J.Cook o10.5 Rec Yds-113
0.57u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 20-29-1 (-7.7u)
LAC +7.5-120
0.6u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 42-33-1 (+0.3u)
P.Herbert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1700
0.1u
Can’t resist a good narrative (he’s playing with his brother Justin Herbert in the NFL for the first time). Let’s have some fun with this one and take a trip down Narrative Street.
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 204-169-8 (+26.4u)
LAC +7-105
1u
Early szn Bounce Back Overall: 336-232-10,59% (ROI:15%) Season:4-4-0,50% (ROI:-4%) Winless Road Teams Overall: 212-144-5,60% (ROI:15%) Season:4-2-0,67% (ROI:28%) #TSA
Under 50.5-115
0.87u
High Wind Unders Overall: 664-505-10,57% (ROI:10%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:92%) #TSA
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 54-113-0 (-1.8u)
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 57-88-1 (-30.9u)
LAC o20.5-120
1u
Adam Kaufman
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 341-329-11 (-24.3u)
BUF -7-114
0.5u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 87-102-1 (+13.5u)
Under 25.5 (1H)-108
1.5u
Alex Hinton
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 85-103-3 (-17.4u)
J.Cook o11.5 Rec Yds-113
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 83-99-4 (-25.5u)
BUF -2.5 (Live)-112
0.89u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 102-187-1 (+14.4u)
L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
0.2u
J.Herbert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.2u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 26-119-6 (-10.5u)
Kev Mahserejian
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 14-18-0 (-0.5u)
LAC +7.5-114
1u

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Chargers vs. Bills Props

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Chargers vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Chargers

Public

26%

Bets%

74%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
4-22-12-13-21-0
Chargers
0-5-10-30-2-10-20-3-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills
5-12-13-04-11-0
Chargers
1-50-31-20-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
5-1N/AN/A4-11-0
Chargers
0-6N/AN/A0-20-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 18thDETW 41-31-5.5 WO 54.5BUF -250
Sep 13th@HOUW 36-31-1.5 WO 44.5BUF -118
Aug 27thPITW 28-27-1.5 LO 36.5BUF -141
Aug 22nd@CLEW 31-7+2.5 WO 36.5BUF +124
Aug 15thCARW 29-14-2.5 WO 39BUF -148

Bills vs. Chargers Injury Updates

Bills Injuries

  • D.J. Moore
    WR

    Moore is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Joshua Palmer
    WR

    Palmer is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

Chargers Injuries

  • David Njoku
    TE

    Njoku is out with leg

    Out

  • Gary Jennings
    WR

    Gary Jennings (Concussion) is out this week.

    Out

  • Alec Ingold
    FB

    Ingold is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tre' Harris
    WR

    Harris is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Brenen Thompson
    WR

    Thompson is questionable with quad

    Questionable

Team Stats
348
Total Yards
350
64
Total Plays
63
5.4
Yards Per Play
5.6
226
YDS
204
20/34
Comps/Atts
16/26
6.028
YPA
5.8
1/1
TDs/INTs
0/2
2/9
Sacks/Yards
4/30
131
Rush Yards
176
28
Attempts
33
4.679
YPC
5.333
0
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
3
1
Interceptions
2

Efficiency

1/4 25%
Redzone
3/4 75%
6/15 0%
3rd Down
6/12 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%

First Downs

20
Total
22
11
Pass
10
6
Rush
11
3
Penalty
1
7/50
Penalties/Yards
10/88
31:22
Possession
28:38

Chargers vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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Chargers at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Chargers
0-6
N/A
N/A
Bills
5-1
N/A
N/A