Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - January 21, 2024
Chiefs at Bills
11:30 pm • CBSChiefs at Bills Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs 5-3 | +2.5 | +2.5-105 | o45.5-115 | +125 |
Bills 5-2 | u45.5 | -2.5-115 | u45.5-105 | -150 |

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Chiefs vs. Bills Expert Picks
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF +0.5 (Live)+100
1u
They’re winning
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 53-39-2 (+19.6u)
S.Diggs u62.5 Rec Yds (Live)-125
0.8u
Bet What Happens Live!
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (+0.3u)
J.Cook o18.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+2100
0.1u
I.Pacheco o55.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 23 (2H)-120
1.2u
Bet What Happens Live!
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (+0.3u)
T.Sherfield o0.5 Rec Yds (Live)+125
1.25u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 95-106-0 (-2.6u)
BUF -105 (Live)
1u
Go Josh go!
Bet What Happens Live!
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (+0.3u)
N.Gray o17.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
1u
J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+425
0.25u
S.Diggs u45.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
J.Allen u79.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
I.Pacheco o8.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+4500
0.25u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 22.5 (1H)-140
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 201-181-1 (-3.2u)
KC +3-144
0.69u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-58-0 (+5.8u)
T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.25u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 201-181-1 (-3.2u)
KC +128
0.64u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC +3-125
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 42-92-0 (+10.6u)
J.Allen o43.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 63-44-2 (+32.7u)
Under 45.5-105
2u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 78-80-2 (-16.2u)
KC +2.5+100
3u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 0-5-0 (-6.0u)
S.Diggs u60.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 37-37-1 (-3.6u)
BUF -140
1.4u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 67-83-3 (-12.0u)
J.Allen o42.5 Rush Yds-135
0.74u
D.Knox u1.5 Recs-135
0.74u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-58-0 (+5.8u)
J.Allen u43.5 Rush Yds+100
1.1u
@ActionIsland
Under 45.5-105
1.05u
@ActionIsland
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+1.0u)
Under 45.5-105
1.58u
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125
1.88u
KC +125
3.13u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 81-113-4 (-0.3u)
Under 45.5-110
0.55u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 90-78-0 (-2.7u)
KC +2.5+100
$100.00
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 61-61-1 (-4.4u)
J.Allen o42.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 115-111-1 (-9.2u)
Under 45.5-110
1u

Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 45.5-110
1.1u
Projection: 43.4. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -154
1u
Over 45.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 43-58-1 (-6.0u)
BUF -142
1.42u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 75-74-1 (+3.0u)
KC +2.5+100
2u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Knox u1.5 Recs-120
0.83u
@The_Oddsmaker
Under 45.5-110
1u
@ChrisRaybon
BUF -2.5-120
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 50-33-0 (+9.1u)
D.Knox u1.5 Recs-120
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -145
1.45u
Action Island
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Cook o18.5 Rec Yds-114
0.44u
@GDAWG5000
P.Mahomes o26.5 Rush Yds-114
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes+950
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker
J.Watson 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+230
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker
Under 45.5-110
0.5u
@nick_giffen
J.Allen u43.5 Rush Yds-114
0.5u
@nick_giffen
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
K.Shakir Anytime TD Scorer Yes+320
$16.00
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 100-79-1 (+17.4u)
KC +3-120
1u
STL ELITE
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
P.Mahomes o29.5 Rush Yds-110
3.3u
KC +9-120
2u
*** 6pt teaser with Bucs +12.5 ***
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 201-181-1 (-3.2u)
Under 45.5-110
1u
… outside unders postseason
Overall: 80-52-2,61% (ROI:17%)
Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:91%)
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-87-1 (-13.7u)
J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
1u
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 8-13-0 (-3.9u)
BUF -2.5-110
1.1u
Simon Says
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
J.Allen 2+ TDs Yes+600
$30.00
I.Pacheco 2+ TDs Yes+900
$10.00
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-87-1 (-13.7u)
J.Watson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
0.5u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 75-74-1 (+3.0u)
M.Hardman u17.5 Rec Yds-118
0.85u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 72-87-2 (-9.9u)
BUF -2-125
$50.00
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
0.75u
At least 1 rushing touchdown in 10 of his last 12 games. Played his anytime TD last week, and playing it again this week. Only place I could find this at plus odds. Had 10 carries for 32 yards and a touchdown when the Bills played in KC earlier this year.
P.Mahomes o24.5 Rush Yds-114
0.75u
This offense is still not clicking on all cylinders and one element that’s helped them lately has been Mahomes using his legs. Expect the Chiefs to be fighting an uphill battle in Buffalo and Mahomes running ability should be needed to extend drives.
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 43-58-1 (-6.0u)
BUF -2-110
2.2u
PRO Insights
Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured Insight
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 64.0% on 3rd and short this season -- T-9th-best in NFL; the Bills defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 64.0% when defending on 3rd and short this season -- 8th-worst in NFL.
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Bills
BUF Insights
- Featured Insight
The Bills have pressured opposing QBs on 28.0% of passing plays this season -- 7th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 27% of pass attempts this season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs vs. Bills Previews & Analysis
Chiefs vs. Bills Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Chiefs vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bills are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Bills are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bills are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Bills' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Chiefs vs. Bills Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries
- Isiah PachecoRB
Pacheco is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
- Esa PoleOL
Pole is out with ankle
Out

Bills Injuries
- Mitch WishnowskyP
Wishnowsky is out with back
Out
- Tyler BassK
Bass is out with hip
Out
- Joshua PalmerWR
Palmer is out with ankle
Out
Team Stats
Chiefs vs. Bills Odds Comparison
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Chiefs at Bills Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Chiefs 5-3 | o22.5-108 | u22.5-112 |
Bills 5-2 | o23.5-122 | u23.5-105 |




