Texans vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Texans at Vikings

5:00 pm • CBS
7 - 34

Texans at Vikings Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans
8-5
-3.5
-1.5-107
o46.5-109
-118
Vikings
11-2
u46.5
+1.5-112
u46.5-111
+100
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 22, 2024
U.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis
Texans vs. Vikings Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
80d ago
Last 30d: 155-147-10 (+44.3u)
Under 47 (Live)-115
0.87u
JB Bets
JB Bets
80d ago
Last 30d: 40-16-0 (+18.3u)
HOU -125
1u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
80d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+7.5u)
N.Collins o72.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110
1.1u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
80d ago
Last 30d: 43-58-0 (+24.8u)
MIN +114
2.28u
🔑 Vikings ML +114 (DraftKings) 2u The Vikings are legit and Darnold might be living up to his hype. Home field will be huge in this game and I think pushes the Vikings over the edge. Amazing value here and all the sharp money coming in on MIN.
Picks  Office
Picks Office
80d ago
Last 30d: 109-99-5 (+2.0u)
Over 46.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Texans’ offense has shown promise under C.J. Stroud, ranking 11th in points per game at 24 and 9th in total yards per game at over 360. While they’ve struggled a bit on third down, converting just 4-14 last week, their ground game and Stroud’s efficiency with a 69% completion rate create a dynamic threat. Stroud's mistake-free football, with no interceptions yet, and a versatile rushing attack allow Houston to keep pressure on defenses, especially in maintaining fresh legs for the ground game. The key to Houston’s scoring potential is their ability to stay aggressive, despite some discipline issues with penalties. Their red zone struggles should see some improvement with the rhythm the offense is developing. Defensively, Houston’s pass rush has been among the best in the NFL, ranking 2nd with a 14% sack rate, but their vulnerability in the secondary was evident against Indianapolis, and Minnesota’s deep threats pose a serious challenge. Houston is holding teams to 20 points per game but will be tested by the Vikings' explosive offense, especially in limiting plays downfield, where they have struggled. Minnesota’s offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 25.5 points per game (8th in the league) and boasting an impressive 6.8 yards per play. Sam Darnold has excelled in the pocket, ranked 2nd in completion depth, and with key weapons like Justin Jefferson, the Vikings have the tools to exploit Houston’s secondary. Even if Jefferson’s status is uncertain, the versatility of their ground game, with Ty Chandler and Aaron Jones averaging six yards per carry, will keep the Texans' defense honest. On defense, Minnesota is stout, allowing just 11.5 points per game, good for 3rd in the NFL, but they’ve shown some cracks, particularly last week when the 49ers averaged nearly six yards per play. The Vikings' pass defense has been solid, limiting big plays, but they will be tested by Houston’s balanced attack and effective play-action passing game. Minnesota's 3rd down defense (holding opponents to a 20% conversion rate last week) will need to replicate that effort to slow down Houston.
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
80d ago
Last 30d: 44-41-0 (-4.4u)
D.Ogunbowale o6.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
80d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
J.Mundt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
1.38u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
80d ago
Last 30d: 8-30-0 (-0.5u)
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
@GDAWG5000
S.Diggs First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000
0.25u
@TheBMatt
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
80d ago
Last 30d: 21-22-2 (-3.4u)
MIN +2-108
0.93u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
80d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Over 46.5-105
0.53u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
80d ago
Last 30d: 10-10-0 (-1.0u)
MIN +2.5-106
1u
Line locked on Thursday when originally took it.
Convince Me
Convince Me
80d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-1 (-1.6u)
MIN +1.5-106
0.94u
@SimonHunterNFL
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
80d ago
Last 30d: 24-17-1 (+6.2u)
S.Diggs o4.5 Recs-120
0.83u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
80d ago
Last 30d: 2-10-1 (-4.0u)
S.Diggs First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1100
0.25u
Spicy pick for today’s TD show (0.25u)
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
80d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
MIN o22.5 Team Total-115
2u
C.Bynum o6.5 Tackles + Ast-115
1.15u
Royal
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
81d ago
Last 30d: 279-240-11 (+23.5u)
Over 45.5-115
1u
#ProSystem … early season over after under Overall: 79-37-0,68% (ROI:33%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones First Touchdown Scorer Yes+600
0.5u
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
81d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +1.5-106
1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
81d ago
Last 30d: 58-58-2 (-5.1u)
C.Bynum o6.5 Tackles + Ast-115
1.15u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
81d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
TOUCHDOWN SHOW BEST BET NO.2. WATCH POWER HOUR AT 11AM ET FOR FULL ANALYSIS.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
2u
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
81d ago
Last 30d: 22-40-1 (-23.7u)
C.Akers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
81d ago
Last 30d: 117-92-5 (+16.0u)
HOU -125
1.25u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
MIN +105
2.1u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
81d ago
Last 30d: 18-16-1 (+1.6u)
C.Akers u60.5 Rush Yds-113
0.88u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
81d ago
Last 30d: 22-24-0 (-6.8u)
C.Akers u61.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
81d ago
Last 30d: 148-127-1 (+16.7u)
MIN +108
1.08u
CJ Stroud who?
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
81d ago
Last 30d: 6-2-0 (+5.6u)
A.Jones o20.5 Rec Yds-122
0.82u
C.Akers u16.5 Rush Att-130
0.77u
Aside from him being someone who fumbled on the goal line a week ago and not-far-enough removed from a potentially career threatening Achilles injury, this is likely going to be more of a split backfield than everyone will want it to be. Dare Ogunbowale was used during the preseason in a manner not all the different than Akers. I’m not bullish on Dare, but bullish enough to want to fade Akers.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
82d ago
Last 30d: 9-10-0 (-1.8u)
J.Metellus o5.5 Tackles + Ast-135
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
82d ago
Last 30d: 59-74-2 (-9.4u)
Under 46.5-108
1u
Tyvan (PropsFromPrime on X)
Tyvan (PropsFromPrime on X)
82d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
T.Chandler u35.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
- Texans run D is elite. They allow the 2nd fewest RB rush yards (37.5), the lowest YPC (2.27). They were 2nd in EPA and 1st in SR against the run last year as well. - Houston is also just a very good team. Close spread here, but wouldn't be surprised to see Houston pull ahead in this one, just think they are a tier above Minnesota although the Vikings have looked good. - Chandler had the hot hand last week, and Jones got hurt for a bit. Jones was a full practice yesterday, and with Jones line being 45.5, I just think Jones is still ahead of Chandler more than both players Vegas lines imply. - Think this is a great spot for a ton of Vikings pass volume, and don't expect the run game to be efficient for Minnesota.
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
82d ago
Last 30d: 52-34-3 (+24.9u)
MIN +1.5-110
0.91u
-The Vikings have played the Texans every 4 years since 2004, AND WON the game AND COVERED the spread all 5 times, regardless of if they were favorites or underdogs -Darnold’s last game vs the Texans resulted in 304 passing yards, 0 interceptions AND 2 rushing touchdowns. Yes you read that correctly, Sam Darnold rushed for 2 touchdowns and it wouldn’t surprise me if he ran another one in this weekend
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
82d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
S.Darnold o0.5 Int-115
0.58u
Week 3 QB INT Picks. Article coming shortly.
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
82d ago
Last 30d: 7-8-1 (-1.9u)
MIN +2-110
1u
BIG BALLS BET OF THE WEEK, presented by Tommy John
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
83d ago
Last 30d: 59-74-2 (-9.4u)
A.Jones o15.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
83d ago
Last 30d: 54-51-0 (-3.0u)
T.Chandler u1.5 Recs+125
1.25u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
83d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.1u)
MIN +2.5-115
1u
Undefeated vs undefeated - dogs 13-9 ATS; home teams 14-8 ATS. L20 years home undefeated team 68-52-4 ATS. Big balls bet of the week per @TheFavoritesPodcast
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
84d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Diggs o4.5 Recs+108
1.08u
This game really should suit Diggs. He’s primarily running routes from the slot (62%). Only 9 catches through 2 games (6 targets in each). He’s been the quick-hitter low aDOT guy (5.4, compared to Nico 13.6 and Tank 14.4). The Vikings are blitz heavy - the 6th highest rate, and garnering pressure at the 2nd highest rate. Blitzing and pressure dating back to last season lowers Stroud’s aDOT and time to throw lessen (as one would expect). The Vikings allowing an avg aDOT of 6.4 yards (8th lowest) after 7.3 last season (7th lowest). Deebo and WanDale - the two lower aDOT options amongst WR on their teams, had 8 and 6 catches in the Vikings two games (both with double digit targets). Mixon is banged up, even if he plays, it’s easy to see the Texans going pass-heavy. Diggs has run a route on 95%+ of Stroud’s dropbacks. I have him closer to 8 targets in this one. And yeah, he should be pumped to be playing back in Minnesota for the first time.
Babs .
Babs .
86d ago
Last 30d: 92-73-3 (+14.7u)
HOU -2-115
2u

PRO Insights

Texans logo

Texans

HOU Insights
  • Texans logoThe Texans have allowed their opponents to run 29.0% of plays in their territory this season -- T-best in NFL; the Vikings have run 34.0% offensive plays in on their opponent's side of the field this season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Vikings logo

Vikings

MIN Insights
  • Vikings logoThe Vikings have averaged 27.7 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2023 season -- 8th-best in NFL; Texans RBs have 25.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season -- 5th-worst in NFL.
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Texans vs. Vikings Previews & Analysis

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    PRO's 4 Strongest NFL TD Picks Sunday

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    Sep 22, 2024 UTC
  • Cam Akers Projections: 2 Picks to Exploit article feature image

    Cam Akers Projections: 2 Picks to Exploit

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    Sep 22, 2024 UTC
  • Texans vs. Vikings Prediction, Pick, Odds article feature image

    Texans vs. Vikings Prediction, Pick, Odds

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    Sep 22, 2024 UTC
  • NFL Week 3 Predictions: Best Bets Against Spread, Over/Under article feature image

    NFL Week 3 Predictions: Best Bets Against Spread, Over/Under

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    Sep 22, 2024 UTC
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Texans vs. Vikings Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Texans vs. Vikings Public Betting Percentages

54%

Bets%

46%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Vikings
8-4-14-23-2-15-4-13-0
Texans
5-82-43-43-72-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Vikings
5-82-43-34-61-2
Texans
4-91-53-44-60-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Vikings
11-2N/AN/A8-23-0
Texans
8-5N/AN/A8-20-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 15thSFW 23-17+4.5 WU 46.5MIN +180
Sep 8th@NYGW 28-6-1 WU 42MIN -115
Aug 24th@PHIW 26-3+3 WU 34.5MIN +130
Aug 17th@CLEW 27-12+2 WO 33.5MIN +120
Aug 10thLVW 24-23+3 WO 39.5MIN +130

Texans vs. Vikings Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

  • Jerry Hughes
    DE

    Hughes is questionable with hip

    Questionable

  • Folorunso Fatukasi
    DT

    Fatukasi is out with foot

    Out

  • Jeff Okudah
    CB

    Okudah is questionable with quad

    Questionable

  • Jalen Pitre
    S

    Pitre is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Xavier Hutchinson
    WR

    Hutchinson is out with shoulder

    Out

Vikings Injuries

  • Andrew DePaola
    LS

    DePaola is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Stephon Gilmore
    CB

    Gilmore is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Cam Robinson
    T

    Robinson is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Harrison Phillips
    DE

    Phillips is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Andrew Van Ginkel
    OLB

    Van Ginkel is questionable with thigh

    Questionable

  • Dalton Risner
    G

    Risner is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Pat Jones
    OLB

    Jones is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Will Reichard
    K

    Reichard is questionable with quad

    Questionable

  • Gabriel Murphy
    OLB

    Murphy is out with knee

    Out

  • Taki Taimani
    DE

    Taimani is out with ankle

    Out

Team Stats
296
Total Yards
274
63
Total Plays
60
4.7
Yards Per Play
4.6
307
YDS
181
28/44
Comps/Atts
17/28
5.265
YPA
4.875
1/2
TDs/INTs
4/0
5/49
Sacks/Yards
4/25
38
Rush Yards
118
14
Attempts
28
2.714
YPC
4.214
0
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
4/5 80%
4/14 0%
3rd Down
6/13 0%
2/4 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

17
Total
19
16
Pass
12
0
Rush
5
1
Penalty
2
11/88
Penalties/Yards
5/30
30:42
Possession
29:18

Texans vs. Vikings Odds Comparison

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Texans at Vikings Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Texans
8-5
o23.5-105
u23.5-115
Vikings
11-2
o23.5-102
u23.5-118