Texans vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024
Texans at Vikings
5:00 pm • CBSTexans at Vikings Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Texans 8-5 | -3.5 | -1.5-107 | o46.5-109 | -118 |
Vikings 11-2 | u46.5 | +1.5-112 | u46.5-111 | +100 |
Sunday 5:00 p.m.
September 22, 2024U.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis
Texans vs. Vikings Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
80d ago
Last 30d: 155-147-10 (+44.3u)
Under 47 (Live)-115
0.87u
JB Bets
80d ago
Last 30d: 40-16-0 (+18.3u)
HOU -125
1u
Prop Hunter
80d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+7.5u)
N.Collins o72.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110
1.1u
Sir Lockselot
80d ago
Last 30d: 43-58-0 (+24.8u)
MIN +114
2.28u
🔑 Vikings ML +114 (DraftKings) 2u
The Vikings are legit and Darnold might be living up to his hype. Home field will be huge in this game and I think pushes the Vikings over the edge. Amazing value here and all the sharp money coming in on MIN.
Picks Office
80d ago
Last 30d: 109-99-5 (+2.0u)
Over 46.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Texans’ offense has shown promise under C.J. Stroud, ranking 11th in points per game at 24 and 9th in total yards per game at over 360. While they’ve struggled a bit on third down, converting just 4-14 last week, their ground game and Stroud’s efficiency with a 69% completion rate create a dynamic threat. Stroud's mistake-free football, with no interceptions yet, and a versatile rushing attack allow Houston to keep pressure on defenses, especially in maintaining fresh legs for the ground game. The key to Houston’s scoring potential is their ability to stay aggressive, despite some discipline issues with penalties. Their red zone struggles should see some improvement with the rhythm the offense is developing.
Defensively, Houston’s pass rush has been among the best in the NFL, ranking 2nd with a 14% sack rate, but their vulnerability in the secondary was evident against Indianapolis, and Minnesota’s deep threats pose a serious challenge. Houston is holding teams to 20 points per game but will be tested by the Vikings' explosive offense, especially in limiting plays downfield, where they have struggled.
Minnesota’s offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 25.5 points per game (8th in the league) and boasting an impressive 6.8 yards per play. Sam Darnold has excelled in the pocket, ranked 2nd in completion depth, and with key weapons like Justin Jefferson, the Vikings have the tools to exploit Houston’s secondary. Even if Jefferson’s status is uncertain, the versatility of their ground game, with Ty Chandler and Aaron Jones averaging six yards per carry, will keep the Texans' defense honest.
On defense, Minnesota is stout, allowing just 11.5 points per game, good for 3rd in the NFL, but they’ve shown some cracks, particularly last week when the 49ers averaged nearly six yards per play. The Vikings' pass defense has been solid, limiting big plays, but they will be tested by Houston’s balanced attack and effective play-action passing game. Minnesota's 3rd down defense (holding opponents to a 20% conversion rate last week) will need to replicate that effort to slow down Houston.
The Propfessor
80d ago
Last 30d: 44-41-0 (-4.4u)
D.Ogunbowale o6.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Nick Giffen
80d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
J.Mundt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
1.38u
The Touchdown Show
80d ago
Last 30d: 8-30-0 (-0.5u)
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
@GDAWG5000
S.Diggs First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000
0.25u
@TheBMatt
Simon Hunter
80d ago
Last 30d: 21-22-2 (-3.4u)
MIN +2-108
0.93u
Sean Zerillo
80d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Over 46.5-105
0.53u
The Faves Five
80d ago
Last 30d: 10-10-0 (-1.0u)
MIN +2.5-106
1u
Line locked on Thursday when originally took it.
Convince Me
80d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-1 (-1.6u)
MIN +1.5-106
0.94u
@SimonHunterNFL
Kyle Just Bets
80d ago
Last 30d: 24-17-1 (+6.2u)
S.Diggs o4.5 Recs-120
0.83u
Brian Matthews
80d ago
Last 30d: 2-10-1 (-4.0u)
S.Diggs First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1100
0.25u
Spicy pick for today’s TD show (0.25u)
Shady Biev
80d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
MIN o22.5 Team Total-115
2u
C.Bynum o6.5 Tackles + Ast-115
1.15u
Royal
Top Shelf Action 🥃
81d ago
Last 30d: 279-240-11 (+23.5u)
Over 45.5-115
1u
#ProSystem
… early season over after under
Overall: 79-37-0,68% (ROI:33%)
Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones First Touchdown Scorer Yes+600
0.5u
Matthew Vincenzi
81d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +1.5-106
1u
Royals Props
81d ago
Last 30d: 58-58-2 (-5.1u)
C.Bynum o6.5 Tackles + Ast-115
1.15u
Gilles Gallant
81d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
TOUCHDOWN SHOW BEST BET NO.2.
WATCH POWER HOUR AT 11AM ET FOR FULL ANALYSIS.
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
2u
Gamblers Dream
81d ago
Last 30d: 22-40-1 (-23.7u)
C.Akers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
1u
Tanner McGrath
81d ago
Last 30d: 117-92-5 (+16.0u)
HOU -125
1.25u
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 155-192-4 (-11.9u)
MIN +105
2.1u
Chad Millman
81d ago
Last 30d: 18-16-1 (+1.6u)
C.Akers u60.5 Rush Yds-113
0.88u
Sean Koerner
81d ago
Last 30d: 22-24-0 (-6.8u)
C.Akers u61.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
Mjaybrod
81d ago
Last 30d: 148-127-1 (+16.7u)
MIN +108
1.08u
CJ Stroud who?
Chris Gimino
81d ago
Last 30d: 6-2-0 (+5.6u)
A.Jones o20.5 Rec Yds-122
0.82u
C.Akers u16.5 Rush Att-130
0.77u
Aside from him being someone who fumbled on the goal line a week ago and not-far-enough removed from a potentially career threatening Achilles injury, this is likely going to be more of a split backfield than everyone will want it to be. Dare Ogunbowale was used during the preseason in a manner not all the different than Akers. I’m not bullish on Dare, but bullish enough to want to fade Akers.
Firefighter Bets
82d ago
Last 30d: 9-10-0 (-1.8u)
J.Metellus o5.5 Tackles + Ast-135
1u
Kyle Murray
82d ago
Last 30d: 59-74-2 (-9.4u)
Under 46.5-108
1u
Tyvan (PropsFromPrime on X)
82d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
T.Chandler u35.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
- Texans run D is elite. They allow the 2nd fewest RB rush yards (37.5), the lowest YPC (2.27). They were 2nd in EPA and 1st in SR against the run last year as well.
- Houston is also just a very good team. Close spread here, but wouldn't be surprised to see Houston pull ahead in this one, just think they are a tier above Minnesota although the Vikings have looked good.
- Chandler had the hot hand last week, and Jones got hurt for a bit. Jones was a full practice yesterday, and with Jones line being 45.5, I just think Jones is still ahead of Chandler more than both players Vegas lines imply.
- Think this is a great spot for a ton of Vikings pass volume, and don't expect the run game to be efficient for Minnesota.
Brian Condon
82d ago
Last 30d: 52-34-3 (+24.9u)
MIN +1.5-110
0.91u
-The Vikings have played the Texans every 4 years since 2004, AND WON the game AND COVERED the spread all 5 times, regardless of if they were favorites or underdogs
-Darnold’s last game vs the Texans resulted in 304 passing yards, 0 interceptions AND 2 rushing touchdowns. Yes you read that correctly, Sam Darnold rushed for 2 touchdowns and it wouldn’t surprise me if he ran another one in this weekend
Gilles Gallant
82d ago
Last 30d: 30-69-1 (-4.0u)
S.Darnold o0.5 Int-115
0.58u
Week 3 QB INT Picks. Article coming shortly.
The Favorites Podcast
82d ago
Last 30d: 7-8-1 (-1.9u)
MIN +2-110
1u
BIG BALLS BET OF THE WEEK, presented by Tommy John
Kyle Murray
83d ago
Last 30d: 59-74-2 (-9.4u)
A.Jones o15.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Moneyline Hacks
83d ago
Last 30d: 54-51-0 (-3.0u)
T.Chandler u1.5 Recs+125
1.25u
Nico Terpak
83d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.1u)
MIN +2.5-115
1u
Undefeated vs undefeated - dogs 13-9 ATS; home teams 14-8 ATS. L20 years home undefeated team 68-52-4 ATS. Big balls bet of the week per @TheFavoritesPodcast
Prop Bet Guy
84d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Diggs o4.5 Recs+108
1.08u
This game really should suit Diggs. He’s primarily running routes from the slot (62%). Only 9 catches through 2 games (6 targets in each). He’s been the quick-hitter low aDOT guy (5.4, compared to Nico 13.6 and Tank 14.4).
The Vikings are blitz heavy - the 6th highest rate, and garnering pressure at the 2nd highest rate. Blitzing and pressure dating back to last season lowers Stroud’s aDOT and time to throw lessen (as one would expect). The Vikings allowing an avg aDOT of 6.4 yards (8th lowest) after 7.3 last season (7th lowest). Deebo and WanDale - the two lower aDOT options amongst WR on their teams, had 8 and 6 catches in the Vikings two games (both with double digit targets).
Mixon is banged up, even if he plays, it’s easy to see the Texans going pass-heavy. Diggs has run a route on 95%+ of Stroud’s dropbacks. I have him closer to 8 targets in this one.
And yeah, he should be pumped to be playing back in Minnesota for the first time.
Babs .
86d ago
Last 30d: 92-73-3 (+14.7u)
HOU -2-115
2u
PRO Insights
Texans
HOU Insights
- Featured InsightThe Texans have allowed their opponents to run 29.0% of plays in their territory this season -- T-best in NFL; the Vikings have run 34.0% offensive plays in on their opponent's side of the field this season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Vikings
MIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Vikings have averaged 27.7 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2023 season -- 8th-best in NFL; Texans RBs have 25.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season -- 5th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Texans vs. Vikings Previews & Analysis
Texans vs. Vikings Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Texans vs. Vikings Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Vikings are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Vikings are 4-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Vikings are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Vikings' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Vikings' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Texans vs. Vikings Injury Updates
Texans Injuries
- Jerry HughesDE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Folorunso FatukasiDT
Fatukasi is out with foot
Out
- Jeff OkudahCB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
- Jalen PitreS
Pitre is out with shoulder
Out
- Xavier HutchinsonWR
Hutchinson is out with shoulder
Out
Vikings Injuries
- Andrew DePaolaLS
DePaola is questionable with hand
Questionable
- Stephon GilmoreCB
Gilmore is out with hamstring
Out
- Cam RobinsonT
Robinson is questionable with foot
Questionable
- Harrison PhillipsDE
Phillips is questionable with back
Questionable
- Andrew Van GinkelOLB
Van Ginkel is questionable with thigh
Questionable
- Dalton RisnerG
Risner is questionable with back
Questionable
- Pat JonesOLB
Jones is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Will ReichardK
Reichard is questionable with quad
Questionable
- Gabriel MurphyOLB
Murphy is out with knee
Out
- Taki TaimaniDE
Taimani is out with ankle
Out
Team Stats
Texans vs. Vikings Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Texans at Vikings Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Texans 8-5 | o23.5-105 | u23.5-115 |
Vikings 11-2 | o23.5-102 | u23.5-118 |