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Jets vs Bears Odds, Pick, Prediction: NFL Week 12 Preview

Jets vs Bears Odds, Pick, Prediction: NFL Week 12 Preview article feature image
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Sarah Stier/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike White.

Jets vs Bears Odds

Sunday, Nov. 27
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Jets Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+7
-110
38.5
-110o / -110u
+240
Bears Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-7
-110
38.5
-110o / -110u
-300
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

Well, here we are again.

Another crushing loss to the Patriots this season, marking the Jets’ 14th straight defeat against New England. Both games were within reach for the Jets, but their quarterback performance sealed the deal each time.

After New York lost the first matchup, many fans were left questioning the long-term viability of Zach Wilson under center. Luckily for Wilson, the Jets had one of their biggest wins of the decade against Buffalo, giving him another chance to lead this playoff hopeful squad.

Despite the bye week and momentum built heading in, the New York Football Jets had one of the most heartbreaking, yet oddly unsurprising, losses in recent memory to Bill Belichick’s squad. I’m sure everyone saw every verified Twitter account post the punt return touchdown with some sort of caption in all caps. (No, I’m not bitter).

Anyway, if Jets fans weren’t sure before, they definitely were after this divisional game: Wilson is not the future. Not even close. I criticized the play-calling, but the more pitiful performance came from number two.

The combination of the offensive performances and press conferences ultimately led to Robert Saleh pulling Wilson as the starting quarterback. It seems he’s lost the locker room, and it’s unclear whether he’ll start another game from Gang Green. I’ve seen varying opinions on whether this was the right decision, but he probably didn’t deserve the chance to redeem himself again.

On the other side, we have another unclear quarterback situation, but this one for different reasons. Justin Fields’ status for the week is up in the air due to an injury suffered against Atlanta. Based upon the line movement so far, it seems like we’ll see Trevor Siemian starting for the Bears.

So, probably safe to assume it will be Mike White vs. Siemian on Sunday. Potentially exciting for one team, and definitely disappointing for another. Let’s dive in!

Jets vs. Bears Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Jets and Bears match up statistically:

Jets vs. Bears DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 21 6
Pass DVOA 27 5
Rush DVOA 10 8
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 20 30
Pass DVOA 20 30
Rush DVOA 21 25
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There are a ton of question marks for both teams, and a fairly significant injury report.

It’s looking like Jets CB Sauce Gardner will suit up, but again, Fields seems to be in the inactive camp at the moment.

The Bears quarterback has been nothing short of spectacular, giving fans a ton of hope for the future. If he had any semblance of a supporting cast on either side of the ball, Chicago could be dangerous moving forward.

Granted, Fields has had his miscues, but he’s the only reason the Bears are remotely competitive. This will be a massive blow to Chicago, and the point spread reflects that.

On the other side of the ball, the Jets turn to Hall of Fame Mike White (not a joke, he’s in the hall of fame for his performance against Cincinnati last season). While New York might not have their future starting quarterback, it does have a potential spark plug to catapult them into the playoffs. Based upon his performance last year, Jets fans are hopeful we’ll see an Elijah Moore resurgence and an increase in targets for the running backs.


Bet at FanDuel
Bears +6.5 | Jets -6.5


There are a few constants for each team. For the Jets, it’s no mystery that theirs is the defense. I’ve written about their prowess here for several weeks, so just to recap: Quinnen Williams, Gardner, D.J. Reed and the number six-ranked defense, according to Football Outsiders. There’s definitely an argument to be made that unit would actually perform better than the top five, as shown by the Jets’ game against Buffalo, but we can keep it at six. Fine.

For the Bears, it’s their lack of a defense that stands out once we remove Fields. Outside of the torrential downpour in Week 1, the worst Thursday Night Football game of the year and a freakish Fields performance against the Pats on Monday Night Football, every team has scored more than 20 points against Chicago — we’ve recently seen this creep closer to 30.

This is a perfect opportunity for offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur to have some fun with his young group of offensive weapons and a new injection of life behind center. Unlike the opportunity the Jets have, I’m not sure how Chicago is going to score points without Fields unless we have some special teams or turnovers that open up scoring situations.

If there is an argument for Chicago to cover or win, then it involves a lot of luck. That’s not exactly where I want to place my bets.

The one question is: Can we be confident in how the Jets will perform with a backup behind center?

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Interestingly enough, we have seen the Jets play against a terrible defensive squad and a backup behind center. This came against the Dolphins, where the Jets had a field day (no pun intended) on both sides of the ball, demolishing the Skylar Thompson led team 40-17. This is an extremely strong and relevant corollary to this Sunday’s game.

Furthermore, if we look at points spreads for common opponents, we see Patriots were 3- and 3.5-point favorites against the Jets, and were -8.5 at home against Chicago. Of course, those lines and views changed as Fields solidified himself as a potential star, and the Jets beat Buffalo.

Regardless, if we’re calling the Patriots 2-5 points better than the Jets, and 5-6 better than the Bears, then we should see the Jets as at least a 3.5 to 4 point favorite over Chicago.

Add in the Trevor Siemian bit, and this spread could justifiably be a touchdown.

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