Browns vs Texans Anytime Touchdown Props: Kareem Hunt & Nico Collins TD Bets
Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Nico Collins (left) and C.J. Stroud.
Browns vs Texans Anytime Touchdown Props: Kareem Hunt & Nico Collins TD Bets
In the table below, you'll find each of Gilles Gallant's Browns vs Texans Anytime Touchdown props for NFL Wild Card Saturday. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific Anytime TD bet.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Browns vs. Texans
When these teams met in Week 16, I was bullish on running backs Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt to score as Cleveland ran the ball at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL (31.2 attempts per game). Ford and Hunt each scored in a blowout win.
Even though that rushing average has declined since Joe Flacco took over at quarterback (25.4 attempts per game), I still like the Browns to run the ball. I’m going back to my old friend Kareem Hunt at +240 to carry the luggage and get us home.
I’m not going to pretend that Hunt is more talented than Ford between the 20s, but he’s always involved in the red zone. Hunt leads the Browns with 36 red-zone touches and, excluding Week 18 when most starters were rested, he had 18 of those just in games with Flacco.
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Inside the five-yard line is where Hunt has made his money — he has seven TDs scored from that spot, ranking seventh in the NFL in that category. For reference, Hunt had more TDs inside the five-yard line this season than Joe Mixon, Isiah Pacheco, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley and Jonathan Taylor.
I can see the trepidation with taking Cleveland running backs. The Texans rank second vs. the run in DVOA and Flacco has been throwing the ball a lot. Teams haven’t had success between the 20s on the Texans (96 rushing yards allowed per game) but that doesn’t seem to hold up once opponents are in scoring position as they've allowed 19 rushing TDs (tied for 28th).
Pick: Kareem Hunt Kareem Hunt Anytime TD (+240)
Browns vs. Texans
Although the Texans offer a lot of upside with C.J. Stroud, it could be a tough day to penetrate the Browns' top-ranked pass defense, especially on the outside. The Browns ranked second in DVOA vs. the pass (13 TDs to WRs; six TDs to TEs) and fourth in DVOA vs. the run (nine rushing TDs allowed).
The Browns play the most man coverage of any team in the NFL, so while my first instinct was to go with Dalton Schultz, he’s seen his numbers fall off a cliff when facing man defense compared to zone.
The only Texan who has thrived against man is Nico Collins. After what we saw last week, when he had almost 200 yards receiving, he might be the most solid look at +170, especially if the Texans find themselves in a negative gamescript.
Pick: Nico Collins Nico Collins Anytime TD (+170)
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