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Chiefs vs Broncos Player Props: Expert Betting Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards

Chiefs vs Broncos Player Props: Expert Betting Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards article feature image
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Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Greg Dulcich.

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Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards

Prop Greg Dulcich Over 41.5 Receiving Yards
Matchup Chiefs vs. Broncos
Day, Time Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Best Book FanDuel

Clearly, this will be a forgotten season for the Broncos. Russell Wilson has not lived up to his expectations and his team is a laughingstock.

Despite an overall disappointing season, pass-catcher Greg Dulcich has been a bright spot and has seen his role constantly grow in the offense.

The UCLA standout made his debut in Week 5 after recovering from a hamstring injury and was worth the wait. He has two catches for 44 yards in his debut and is averaging 45.6 receiving yards per game in his last seven heading into Week 14. Removing the one game without Wilson, Dulcich ranks second in both air yards and target percentage on the team.

Week 13’s performance was his best yet. After Courtland Sutton left with an injury at halftime, Dulchich commanded a team-high 38.1% target share and ran the most routes amongst all players in Wilson’s dropbacks, finishing with 85 receiving yards in the game. He ran 54.5% of the time in the slot, and his vertical play-ability gives him a big play upside to his 12.8 average depth-of-target average.

Nathaniel Hackett said he used Dulcich as a “full-time receiver” last Sunday, and I expect that utilization to carry onto Week 14, especially with the news that Sutton will miss this game. The wide receiver was the highest-targeted player in Wilson’s offense and made up for 57.3 receiving yards per game.

Oddsmakers list the Chiefs as 9.5-point favorites, which likely brings a come-from-behind game script for the Broncos offense. The Chiefs defense also ranks 20th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric against tight ends.

Additionally, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 257.7 passing yards and have thrown for more than 200 yards 11 times this season against Kansas City.

Opportunity will be there for Dulcich, and I expect continued success for him in a condensed offense.

Pick: Greg Dulcich Over 41.5 Receiving Yards

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