Chris Godwin Prop Bet: Target the Wide Receiver’s Yards in Super Bowl 55
Nic Antaya/Getty Images. Pictured: Bucs WR Chris Godwin
- Looking for more ways to bet on Super Bowl 55?
- NFL analyst Matthew Freedman breaks down how he's betting a Chris Godwin receiving prop.
Super Bowl 55 brings with it a whole host of player prop opportunities, which I plan to exploit with full enthusiasm as we approach kickoff.
To leverage our projections and sort through all the player props available at different sportsbooks, use our new Props Tool at Action Labs.
To see most of the props I have bet, you can follow me in The Action Network App. For all the other props not in the app, check out our Super Bowl Insiders Prop Tool.
Here’s my breakdown of Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin and the prop of his that I plan to bet.
Chris Godwin Prop Bets
Odds as of Thursday afternoon and via DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus today.
Under 77.5 Yards Receiving
On the Buccaneers, Mike Evans is the wide receiver who gets the glory: He's the guy to open his career with seven consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns.
But over the past two years, Godwin has arguably been the better receiver (including postseason).
- Chris Godwin (29 games): 165-2,396-17 receiving | 10.3 yards per target
- Mike Evans (32 games): 147-2,336-23 receiving | 9.4 yards per target
But as I mention in my Super Bowl WR/CB matchup breakdown, his matchup is tough.
The Chiefs don’t have any truly dominant corners, but in the regular season they were No. 2 in fewest yards allowed to wide receivers with 2,159, and that’s a function of their scheme, which is designed to limit big plays deep and on the perimeter.
Essentially, the Chiefs' pass defense is structured to funnel production away from wide receivers and toward tight ends and running backs.
On top of that, fourth-round rookie L’Jarius Sneed has been a difference-making standout in the slot, where Godwin is likely to play most of his snaps. Sneed (concussion) is still in the league’s protocol and is officially questionable, but he has practiced in full this week, and I tentatively expect him to be cleared to play.
In Weeks 1-3, Snead started on the perimeter in cornerback Bashaud Breeland’s absence, and then, after missing Weeks 4-10 to injury, he shifted to the middle in Week 11 and has been the starter there ever since.
Despite his status as a mid-round first-year slot man, Sneed has allowed just 5.0 yards per target with a 1:3 TD:INT ratio and a 73.3 PFF coverage grade.
Godwin had a muscular 97 yards receiving on nine targets against the Chiefs in Week 12, but much of that production came when he was matched up with other cornerbacks or safeties. Against Sneed directly, he was just 2-10-0 on two targets — and that was just Sneed's second week as the full-time slot defender. Sneed has gotten better since then.
As much as any rookie can, Sneed should challenge the veteran Godwin.
- Action: Under 77.5 (-118) at DraftKings
- Limit: Over 72.5 (-110)
Matthew Freedman is 1,004-797-37 (55.7%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.
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