Jets vs. Redskins Odds & Picks: Can You Trust Either Team to Cover?

Jets vs. Redskins Odds & Picks: Can You Trust Either Team to Cover? article feature image

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Dwayne Haskins

  • Our experts analyze every betting angle of the New York Jets at Washington Redskins, complete with odds and picks.

Jets at Redskins Odds & Picks

  • Odds: Redskins -1.5
  • Over/Under: 38.5
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: FOX

Odds as of Thursday evening and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.

Should the Washington Redskins really be 1.5-point favorites against the New York Jets? The public doesn’t seem to think so, with a majority backing the Jets to cover.

Our experts offer their opinion and make their picks in the following preview, complete with key matchup info and more.

Jets-Redskins Injury Report

Which team is healthier? Jets

Once again, the Jets have listed an absurd amount of players on their injury report.

In Week 10, every player who was limited in practice (with the exception one) ended up playing. If that trend continues, it’s safe to assume the players who continue to miss practice will be the ones with the highest chances of being inactive. That includes center Ryan Kalil (knee/elbow), cornerback Darryl Roberts (calf) along with linebackers C.J. Mosley (groin) and Brandon Copeland (hip/thumb).

Adrian Peterson (toe) was downgraded to a missed practice on Thursday, but the Redskins are saying it was just a rest day. More notably, Paul Richardson (hamstring) and Chris Thompson (toe) have yet to practice. Justin Bailey

Note: Info as of Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff.

Biggest Mismatch

Terry McLaurin vs. Jets’ Secondary

It’s not often you’ll see a biggest mismatch in the passing game in a matchup with a total this low, but the Redskins would do well to get the ball to McLaurin.

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Terry McLaurin

The rookie registered 60-plus yards and a touchdown in four of his first five pro games and now gets a Jets defense allowing the seventh-most catches (127) and third-most TDs (15) to WRs. This could be particularly key since the run-happy Redskins are facing the league’s second-best run defense, according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Chris Raybon

Sean Koerner’s Projected Odds

  • Projected Spread: Redskins -1.5
  • Projected Total: 38

Heavy action is coming in on the Jets with 70% of the tickets and 81% of the money backing them as slight dogs as of writing (see live public betting data here). We’ll see if any sharp resistance keeps the Redskins as slight favorites. Sean Koerner

PRO System Match

The Redskins are struggling offensively. Over their past three games, they’ve been held to nine or fewer points.

As a result, more than 70% of spread tickets are on the Jets as small road underdogs as of writing. While this may seem like a good time to fade the Redskins’ inconsistent offense, history suggests otherwise.

Teams that haven’t been able to put up a lot of points recently can be undervalued as teams to regress to the mean throughout the season. This is especially true against opponents that may not know their tendencies or personnel as well as their divisional rivals.

This creates an excellent first-half betting opportunity. Gamblers following this Pro System have gone 163-113-69 (59%) against the spread since 2005. A $100 bettor would have returned a profit of $3,611 following this strategy. John Ewing

PRO Systems are data-driven betting strategies that turn winning long-term trends into easy-to-follow picks, all handpicked and monitored by our team of analysts. Try Action PRO now and instantly access real-time game matches for every PRO System.

Expert Picks

Koerner: Redskins -1.5

There’s some sneaky value on the Redskins given that their defensive line has been on fire, ranking ninth in generating pressure at 25.5% on the season.

Sam Darnold struggles mightily when under pressure and even admitted “seeing ghosts” in the pocket against the Patriots just a few weeks ago — he ranks 30th in QB rating when facing pressure. Dwayne Haskins is just as bad under pressure, but with improved offensive line health and a Jets defense that ranks 23rd in QB pressure (21.3%), he may not face it as much as Darnold.

With Derrius Guice set to return from IR, the Redskins should employ he and Adrian Peterson for a solid one-two punch that will allow the Redskins to take the ball out of Haskins’ hands. I’m going to plug my nose and take Washington here. [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

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