Vikings vs Saints Prediction, Odds, NFL Week 10 Pick
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Vikings vs Saints Odds
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | -155 |
Vikings vs. Saints odds have New Orleans laying a field goal across the board with the total at 40.5. Our NFL pick for this Week 10 matchup is on that spread.
Get the latest Week 10 odds with our live NFL odds page.
The Saints have won back-to-back games and sit atop the NFC South. With the second-easiest remaining schedule in the league, they're headed toward a division title. Meanwhile, the Vikings' season looked to be over when Kirk Cousins tore his Achilles, but Joshua Dobbs has given them a second life.
Vikings vs. Saints Prediction
Early in the season, the Saints were playing at an elite level on defense but weren’t getting much out of their offense. Now in Week 10, the defense is still good — ninth in defensive DVOA — and the offense is showing signs of coming around.
The Saints are using Taysom Hill effectively in certain packages and Derek Carr is playing better of late. That said, the offense is still below average, ranking 19th in DVOA.
The Vikings defense is underrated, ranking just one spot behind the Saints in overall defensive DVOA (10th). They are in the top 13 in both defensive pass (13th) and rush (10th) DVOA. Their personnel might not be the best in the league, but Brian Flores has done a phenomenal job of coaching and scheming this group.
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It's hard to use any of the Vikings’ season-long numbers offensively now that Kirk Cousins isn't starting at quarterback. Cousins was starting to cook before his injury while Minnesota's skill-position players are some of the best in the league.
Jordan Addison has been a hit from this year’s draft and T.J. Hockenson has been elite at tight end. Even with Justin Jefferson sidelined, Addison, Hockenson and K.J. Osborn have been solid as a committee of pass-catchers.
Joshua Dobbs doesn’t have great numbers, but he didn't exactly have a bunch of weapons when he was with the Cardinals. Now in a better situation, his numbers should improve. Dobbs will never be on Cousins’ level, but he brings a different dynamic with his rushing ability and he should be better thanks to the talent around him.
Bet New Orleans vs. Minnesota at FanDuel
For the Saints, something still isn't quite right with their offense despite more scoring output and explosive plays over the past couple of weeks. Alvin Kamara is one of the most dynamic running backs in the league, yet Hill has been their leading rusher over the last two weeks.
In the passing game, Carr has not fully clicked yet. Chris Olave has been really inconsistent, which is worrisome considering he should be a legit No. 1 receiver based on his talent. Carr has targeted his tight ends a lot and seems to be going with safe check-down options more often than not. The Saints offense could have a tough time in Minnesota given the Vikings defense plus home-field advantage.
The win over Atlanta is also sure to carry some weight in the Vikings’ locker room. Dobbs springing onto the scene and winning that game inspired his teammates and instantly made them feel comfortable with him as their new leader.
I expect Dobbs to perform relatively well with improved weapons and keep it close in his first home start.
Vikings vs. Saints
Betting Picks & Predictions
The Vikings and Saints are about even defensively. On offense, I think the Vikings have the edge even with the downgrade from Cousins to Dobbs.
I also think Minnesota has a solid edge in the coaching department with O’Connell and Flores. Getting a field goal at home is really solid value on the Vikings in this spot.
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