NFL Odds & Picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs: Sunday Night Football’s Big Betting System Edge

NFL Odds & Picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs: Sunday Night Football’s Big Betting System Edge article feature image
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Photo by Andy Cross/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images. Pictured: Denver Broncos quarterback Drew Lock (3)

  • Tonight's Broncos vs. Chiefs Sunday Night Football matchup is an easy over bet due to Kansas City's explosive offense, right?
  • According to our NFL PRO Betting Systems, smart bettors might want to instead look toward the under.
  • Learn about the latest Broncos vs. Cheifs odds, and why historical betting data suggests Sunday Night Football scoring may be lower than expected.

NFL Odds: Broncos vs. Chiefs

Broncos Odds +13.5
Chiefs Odds -13.5
Over/Under 50.5
PRO Projections Chiefs -13 | O/U: 50.5
Time/Channel  8:20 p.m. ET, NFC
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After starting practice squad wide receiver Kendall Hinton at quarterback last week against the Saints, Drew Lock will be back under center for the Broncos tonight against the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football.

Even with Lock returning for Denver, the betting market doesn’t expect this game to be all that close.

The latest Broncos vs. Chiefs odds have Kansas City as a 13.5-point favorite (click here for updated NFL odds). However, it’s the Sunday Night Football over/under that is lighting up our PRO Betting Systems.

NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Chiefs

When divisional opponents, like the Broncos and Chiefs, get together late in the season the final scores tend to be lower than expected, especially in higher total games.

This is the crux of our Divisional Unders NFL PRO Betting System that has provided a stunning 62% win rate since 2005, including a sample of more than 325 games.

It’s not an easy bet to make considering Kansas City’s No. 1-ranked pass offense per Football Outsiders’ DVOA, but don’t forget, Vic Fangio’s defense excels against the pass as well, ranking fifth in DVOA.

Additionally, the Broncos’ offense ranks dead last in the same metric, inspiring little confidence that it can do its part to push this number over the total.

PRO Report Angle: Under 50.5

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