We have you covered with a total of eight NFL player prop picks for Sunday of Week 10.
Our staff has locked in prop bets for almost all of Sunday's big games, starting with Vikings vs Packers at 1:00 p.m. ET. Then, we have picks for Seahawks vs Raiders and Rams vs Cardinals later in the day. We also have bets for Texans vs Browns, Panthers vs Saints, and more.
Let's dig into our NFL player props and best bets for Week 10 of the NFL season on November 15.
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NFL Player Props Week 10
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1 p.m. | |
| 1 p.m. | |
| 1 p.m. | |
| 1 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Vikings vs. Packers
Jordan Love Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-110)
By Chris Prince
This is not the easiest matchup for Jordan Love and the Packers against the elite Vikings defense, but there are quite a few reasons I really like this play.
First, let's talk the number we are getting at 249.5, which is significantly lower than a few other books (where it sits as high as 260.5). The Packers have been pass-heavy this season, ranking second in PROE through the first nine weeks of the season.
The Packers have been unable to run the ball behind their Swiss cheese offensive line, and they will once again be without Josh Jacobs, which should lead to even more of the passing game.
The Packers lead the league in explosive-play rate, and we saw them have success on those plays against the Vikings in their first meeting, when Love threw for a season-high 387 yards.
While I'm not expecting that again, the addition of Kirk Cousins to the Vikings makes this a more appealing back-and-forth type of game, which should keep Love throwing throughout.
Love has only two games this season where he did not reach this number, and he has averaged 310.8 passing yards per game in his four games at Lambeau Field.
With their high pressure and blitzing rates, Minnesota will certainly get home and find some success, but that also leaves them vulnerable in one-on-one situations against two of the better deep threats in the league: Christian Watson and Matthew Golden.
Love has been getting the ball out quickly, which should help negate some of that pressure, and we know he will take his shots.
Add it all up, and this number feels too low.
Pick: Jordan Love Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-110)Â
Panthers vs. Saints
Jalen Coker Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
By Chris Prince
A few down performances have driven this number down, which makes this is a great buy-low number on Jalen Coker against the Saints.
This game features a big total (48.5), and both of these teams love to play fast so we should get a big boost in play volume.
Coker's target share has been down recently as Chuba Hubbard's has risen, but a lot of that seems to be driven by matchups against defenses that can cause a lot of pressure, forcing Bryce Young to get rid of the ball quicker behind a shaky offensive line.
The Saints rank near the bottom of the league in pressure rate, which should open up more throws down the field and big plays for the wide receivers.
Recency bias will say this number is too high based on recent results, but I'm pouncing here in a potential shootout against a defense that has been very vulnerable against the pass.
Pick: Jalen Coker Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)Â
Texans vs. Browns
C.J. Stroud Over 20.5 Completions (-110)
By Brit Devine
With David Montgomery out for another game, I'm expecting the Texans to rely on their passing game.
Houston been leaning into the passing game, with RB Woody Marks averaging just 3.6 yards per carry this season, which has allowed CJ Stroud to get 21+ completions in four of his last five games.
Stroud has also been playing his best football since his rookie season, and he has a rather deep receiving corps to throw to now with Tank Dell back and looking good.
With possibly the worst running game in the NFL and the sixth-best EPA in passing offense, any smart game plan would lead to a heavy dose of Stroud.
After seeing them let Stroud cook for the past few games, I think I can trust the coaching staff here to do the smart thing.
Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 20.5 Completions (-110)Â
Dolphins vs. Colts
Tyler Warren Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
By Brit Devine
With the Colts trading away their top two WRs at the trade deadline, Tyler Warren should see near Brock Bowers-level of targets — even Daniel Jones should be able to get Warren over this number easily.
The Dolphins have allowed the 11th-most yards, sixth-most receptions, and fourth-highest yards per target to TEs this season despite already having their bye week.
It would not be surprising to see double-digit targets thrown Warren's way, which is something that has already been done in two games this season.
Even with Warren only besting this line in two games this season, I am more than willing to go out on a limb with the over here given the uptick in workload that I expect.
Pick: Tyler Warren Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)Â
Seahawks vs. Raiders
Brock Bowers Anytime TD (+210)
I know that Fernando Mendoza is now starting and the Seahawks are one of the best defenses in the league, but this price is way off.
Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak is an offensive genius, and even with a rookie at the helm, he's still going to put up some points.
Bowers has one of the biggest roles in the league, and Kubiak is going to move him around and scheme him open all game long.
I have the true odds here around +170.
Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD (+210)Â
Rams vs. Cardinals
Reggie Virgil Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
By Chris Prince
It's much easier to see the downside here. Reggie Virgil has done basically nothing this season and the Cardinals are down to 3rd-string rookie quarterback Carson Beck.
I can even hear some saying, "C'mon Chris, this guy's best highlight this season is running into a damn goalpost." I fully understand any hesitations, but let's look at the other side.
The Cardinals are down to scraps at wide receiver after losing Marvin Harrison Jr., Kendrick Bourne, and Michael Wilson. They are clearly looking to the future.
Whether that's by choice or not, Virgil should be on the field a ton and he has had plenty of work with Beck as both operated together further down the depth chart until this point.
The Cardinals are massive 9.5-point underdogs, so as good or bad as Beck may be in this game, there will be plenty of passing from the Cardinals.
Virgil also brings a big-play, down-the-field element, so it's fully possible he beats this prop on one catch.
The Rams are hurting in the secondary, with Jaylen Watson out for the year and Trent McDuffie listed as questionable.
We're putting faith in Beck here (an untested rookie), but this line seems way too low for a potential near full-time receiver in a pass-heavy game script as big underdogs.
I will also climb the ladder here and sprinkle up to 70+ receiving yards (which is +900 on DraftKings).
Pick: Reggie Virgil Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)Â
Steelers vs. Bengals
Germie Bernard Over 4.5 Receptions (-125)
By Chris Prince
Germie Bernard should see a ton of volume in this game, as we can assume the Bengals will likely find success on offense (implied team total of 26.5 points), and more importantly, the Bengals defense is much more vulnerable against slot receivers.
DK Metcalf draws one of the most difficult matchups for wide receivers against stud corner DJ Turner, which should funnel more targets to the running backs, tight ends, and Bernard in the slot.
Bernard has reached 5+ receptions in three of his four games since seeing his role increased after injuries to Michael Pittman and Roman Wilson (who are both out again this week).
Bernard has been very efficient with his targets, converting 76.2% into receptions, and I'm expecting a big dose of targets against a slot-vulnerable Bengals defense in a spot the Steelers may be playing in catch-up mode as 3.5-point underdogs.
