Packers vs Raiders MNF Props for Jimmy Garoppolo, Josh Jacobs, More
Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images. Pictured: Jimmy Garoppolo.
Week 5 of the NFL regular season concludes with a Monday Night Football clash between the Green Bay Packers and Las Vegas Raiders, and we are locked and loaded with Packers vs. Raiders player prop picks for this primetime non-conference battle at Allegiant Stadium.
Let's take a look at our three player props for Packers vs. Raiders, which feature picks for Jimmy Garoppolo, Jordan Love and Josh Jacobs.
Packers vs Raiders MNF Player Prop Picks
In the table below, you'll find each of my top player prop picks for Packers vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Packers vs. Raiders Prop Bets
Jimmy Garoppolo has posted an impressive record of 41-19 in 60 career starts, which includes a perfect record of 2-0 for New England, 38-17 for San Francisco and now 1-2 for Vegas. So, the argument on the Raiders’ behalf could be that their QB is simply a bona fide winner, and if that’s your sincere evaluation of him, the win-loss numbers certainly support that claim at this stage of his career. But personally, I still question Jimmy G’s prowess as an NFL quarterback.
Garoppolo has attempted just 94 passes in three starts for the Raiders so far this season, and he’s already thrown six interceptions. However, in a heavily simplified Kyle Shanahan scheme (for QBs, at least) back in San Francisco, he started 55 games and attempted 1,632 passes and was only picked off 42 times.
Maybe Garoppolo will settle down and return to Niners form at some point. But through three starts for the Raiders, he’s already on pace to double his career-high interception number of 13, currently tracking for 32 on the season. The Packers defense has forced four turnovers through the first four weeks of the season, and they smothered the Bears and Saints by holding both to 20 points or less.
This isn’t exactly a “great” Packers defense. But they defend the pass pretty well, currently ranked 12th in yards allowed per pass attempt and 14th in opponent completion percentage. I’m backing the Green Bay D to come away with a Jimmy G interception on Monday night.
Pick: Jimmy Garoppolo Over 0.5 Interception (-135)
Fantasy managers who rolled the dice on Jordan Love in this year’s draft have certainly been pleased with their decision thus far, as Love currently ranks as the QB4 in most formats thanks to his eight passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns through the first four weeks of the season.
However, in real football, it’s been a bit of a roller coaster for Love. He’s completed just 56% of his passes for 225 yards per game, while posting the third-worst bad throw percentage in the entire league at 21.7% – only ahead of Kenny Pickett (23.6%) and C.J. Stroud (22.7%).
The Packers offense looked great in performances of 34 and 25 points against Chicago and Atlanta, which resulted in Love throwing three touchdown passes in both affairs. However, the Packers struggled to find the end zone in their latest two matchups against Detroit and New Orleans, as they churned out low totals of 18 and 20 points in Weeks 3 and 4. Love threw for just one touchdown in each game.
That said, I expect Love and the Green Bay aerial attack to flex their muscles against a Raiders secondary that enters the week ranked 26th in opponent completion percentage and 27th in passing touchdowns allowed per game.
After escaping with a narrow 17-16 victory over Denver in their season opener, the Raiders’ miserable offensive play quickly caught up with them in Week 2, and they certainly haven't shown any signs of improvement since. The Raiders have scored 18 or fewer points in all four of their games so far this season, and they’ve already turned the ball over 10 times. They rank 25th in scoring at 15.5 points per game and 26th in total yardage at 282 yards per game.
Josh Jacobs and the Raiders rushing attack have been no exception to that claim. Jacobs has 166 rushing yards on 62 attempts in 2023, good for 2.7 yards per carry, which ranks 44th out of 49 players who have received 25+ carries this season. In Week 2, he rushed for -2 yards on nine carries, becoming the first defending rushing champ since the 1970 merger to finish with negative rushing yards in a game, according to Action Network’s Evan Abrams.
Jacobs draws a favorable matchup against a Packers defensive front that enters the week ranked 30th in rushing yards allowed per game and 28th in yards allowed per carry. However, because of that, his rushing line has been inflated to 75.5 yards in some markets, which is a number that he’s fallen short of in all four of the Raiders' contests thus far. He’s rushed for 48, -2, 62 and 58, despite managing to somewhat salvage his total yardage stats by reeling in 4.5 receptions for 43 receiving yards per game.
This play seems a bit too obvious given what we’ve seen from Jacobs and the Raiders offense this season. But I’m going to bet it anyway: Jacobs under 75.5 rushing yards on Monday night.
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