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Finding Betting Value in the 2020 NHL All-Star Game

Credit:

Bruce Bennett/Getty Images. Pictured: Connor McDavid

2020 NHL All-Star Game Odds

  • Where: St. Louis, MO
  • When: 8 p.m. ET on NBC
  • Odds: Atlantic -125 vs. Metro, Pacific -118 vs. Central

[Bet the NHL All-Star Game now at DraftKings. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

As my colleague, Michael Leboff, once said, “betting on the NHL All-Star game is like betting on MLB spring training games. It may not be advisable, but it’s understandable.”

While we never judge anyone for betting on an exhibition or pretty much anything else, if you’re going to bet on something, you might as well put some math behind it.

But don’t fret, I’m not going to make you do the math, especially on a Saturday. By compiling some advanced hockey metrics, I was able to create projections for these 2020 All-Star Game rosters.

First, a quick note about the format:

In 2016, the NHL changed the All-Star Game to a 3-on-3 tournament, with teams representing each of the four divisions competing in a two-period, 20-minute game, before the winners play in the finals.

Those 12 mini-games have seen an average of 10.3 goals per game since 2016.

Here’s how the divisions stack up for 2020:

Atlantic vs. Metropolitan

My projections show the Atlantic as the best team in this three-game mini-tournament.

Additionally, they will face the weakest team in the Metropolitan, which has won two of the four All-Star competitions played under this format, and comes in as the defending champions.

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