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Premier League Exact Score Props: Make These Wagers With Long Odds

Premier League Exact Score Props: Make These Wagers With Long Odds article feature image
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Michael Regan/Getty Images. Pictured: Brighton & Hove Albion standout Danny Welbeck and his teammates celebrate a goal against Manchester United.

Predictive Analytics expert Nick Giffen inspired me during the World Cup as he put out exact score projections. I’ve been using Poisson distribution for years to determine my European soccer projections, so if you are someone who likes playing the exact score prop market, this article is for you.

If you’d like to see my Premier League projections along with the rest of the big five leagues in Europe – plus a whole lot more – you can view them here. If you’d like to read about how I determine my projections, you can read about it here.

If you’d like to hear a more in-depth analysis for every single Premier League match, check our soccer podcast Wondergoal.

Without further ado, let’s dive in to the first edition of Premier League exact score bets.

*All odds are from FanDuel

Premier League Exact Score Props

West Ham vs. Brentford

Pick: Pass

Liverpool vs. Leicester

Pick: Liverpool 4-0 (+1700); 0.5 unit

Wolves vs. Manchester United

Pick: Pass

Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace

Picks: 0-0 Draw (+750); 0.5 units | Bournemouth 1-0 (+800); 0.5 units

Fulham vs. Southampton

Pick: Pass

Manchester City vs. Everton

Pick: 0-0 Draw (+3200); 0.2 units

Newcastle vs. Leeds United

Pick: Pass

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Arsenal 

Picks: Brighton 1-0 (+1200); 0.5 units

Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

Pick: Pass

Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea

Pick: Pass

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